Posted on 09/27/2015 10:03:50 AM PDT by Steelfish
Donald Trump Is Free To Cherry-Pick His Polls. But His Decline Is Clear.
By Philip Bump September 27 When announcing the results of a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll on Sunday, NBC senior political editor Mark Murray tweeted this:
Donald Trump, up two points! Sure, he's neck-and-neck with Carson, as other polls have shown, but still. The idea that Trump must be slipping, promulgated by some folks, doesn't quite to hold water it seems.
In fact, since last Sunday's CNN/ORC poll, the change Trump has seen since the last polls from each outlet has varied — up since the last one in some, down in others.
What gives?
We've noted before that reviewing polling is like trying to figure out who's winning a horse race based on photographs you're given every 100 yards. To the pedants' point, a photo of the pack just out of the gates doesn't tell you much about who's going to win — but if a long shot comes out of the gates strong and, in a photograph taken 200 yards later, has widened his lead, that's interesting.
So what we have here is a number of photos taken at various times that we're comparing to one another. NBC and the Wall Street Journal took one in late July that showed Trump at 19 percent. They took another one more recently (the poll was completed Sept. 24) that showed him at 21. What we don't see is what happened in the meantime.
Happily, those other polling firms were snapshotting the race, too. And if we put them in the proper order, it looks like this. -------
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(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
No it isn’t, he still leads. The WP? Shows you who is scared of Trump. Among others. LOL
Trump is at 40%.
This is gibberish.
Phil Bump claims a slump for Trump.
I doubt it.
Partisan Media Shills Alert!
Rush mentioned that the Washington Post has abandoned journalism.
They do the same thing to Hillary. They must fear Hillary and Trump. It is clear they want Carson and Sanders to run.....Lord how awful would that be.
Donald Trump Is Free To Cherry-Pick His Polls. ............... Yeah???? And the WAPO creates polls to fit their agenda or pick a poll that fits it? Slant the questions that will give you the answers you are hoping for. I think most of us are on to that by now.
Okie dokie.
And the lamestream media is free to try to bring Trump down- and they are putting a lot of effort into it.
Bump the chump...
Yeah, well Jeb Bush says “polls don’t matter”
Hillary’s ahead in her polls... I wonder if Philip Bump would run a similar story about Hillary - and if his editors would accept it.
Proof of Trump’s support is in the number of people who show up at his events. None of the other candidates have as many supporters.
He must!
He must!
He must!
-- Philip Bump
Nobody cares, nobody reads the WaPo.
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