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The 45% Increase in Debt Under Obama Generated Only 7.1% Real GDP Growth
Confounded Interest ^ | 11/08/2012 | Anthony B. Sanders

Posted on 11/08/2012 8:38:24 AM PST by whitedog57

Initial jobless claims fell by 8,000 to 355,000 last week, although Hurricane Sandy is hampering efforts to actually collect data on jobless claims. We will have to wait three to four weeks to see the real impact.

The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort index rose to its highest level since March, printing at -34.4. This may be the new normal since it indicates that 2/3rds of those surveyed are more pessimistic about their financial situation than are optimistic. In fact, 70 percent call it a bad time to spend money and 52 percent rate their personal finances negatively.

Now that the election has revealed little change in Washington DC (we still have Obama as President, the Senate is still under Democrat control and the House in still under Republican control), The Federal Reserve stands as the only source of policy support for a U.S. economy burdened by 7.9 percent unemployment and 14.6% U6 unemployment and partial unemployment). Look for QE3 (agency mortgage-backed securities purchases) to pass $ trillion.

Be advised, increasing debt only generates small increases in GDP. As in 45% in debt has only increased real GDP by 7.1% since January 2009.

While the US Treasury yields are down to 1.673%, a 1.2 basis point decline after yesterday’s 12 basis point decline, the European PIGS (Portugal, Italy Greece and Spain) all experienced 12 basis point or more increases in their 10 year sovereign yields.

(Excerpt) Read more at confoundedinterest.wordpress.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: debt; gdp; obama
Wow. All that debt generated so little growth. And The Fed wants to buy over $1 trillion in Fannie, Freddie, Ginnie MBS.
1 posted on 11/08/2012 8:38:33 AM PST by whitedog57
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To: whitedog57

Romney’s got a horse.

And a dog on the roof!

Oh, and lady parts.

Don’t bug me about facts, man.


2 posted on 11/08/2012 8:42:42 AM PST by TigerClaws
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To: whitedog57

...and that is what Democrats call a ‘good investment’.


3 posted on 11/08/2012 8:44:12 AM PST by STYRO (Do not accept unconstitutional government as legitimate government.)
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To: whitedog57
"Real" GDP growth = Nominal growth - inflation.

But the inflation calculations are so @#($%$*-up that I have no trust about the "Real" GDP growth.

4 posted on 11/08/2012 8:45:23 AM PST by KarlInOhio (Big Bird is a brood parasite: laid in our nest 43 years ago and we are still feeding him.)
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To: STYRO

If the math holds true, I think I know how to get 14.2% growth in GDP. But I’m not sure a 90% growth in debt is worthwhile ... let’s wait and find out what Obama thinks.


5 posted on 11/08/2012 8:59:34 AM PST by ClearCase_guy (Global Warming is a religion, and I don't want to be taxed to pay for a faith that is not mine.)
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To: whitedog57

It didn’t generate any growth. All the growth would have happened anyway. What it did was prevent greater growth.


6 posted on 11/08/2012 9:04:18 AM PST by webheart (King of the Run-On Sentence)
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To: whitedog57

“The 45% Increase in Debt Under Obama Generated Only 7.1% Real GDP Growth”

The title is a contradiction. There is nothing real about GDP that comes as a result of Borrowed Debt. It is not real because it has to be paid back. It is simply pulling demand forward at an even greater loss to the future.


7 posted on 11/08/2012 11:00:50 AM PST by Revel
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