Skip to comments.Vote Total Projectios for Every State (275-263 Romney)
Posted on 11/05/2012 8:09:42 PM PST by parksstp
I have reviewed 2004, 2006, 2008, and 2010 totals for each state and voter turnout. I did not get to do a county by county for each state, but I'm pretty confident my totals are near where the actual turnout numbers for each state will be. Use this as a template to determine who is Over/Underperforming their projected state voter totals.
The Popular Vote is that close. Out of 128,676,973 projected ballots cast between the two candidates (not counting third parties), I have Obama with 64,499,188 or 50.12% and Romney with 64,177,785 or 49.87%. This is a net loss of Obama of about 2.5 Million votes and a net Gain of nearly 6 Million votes for the GOP. My model assumes that in most states, Obama will drop approximately half his vote gain that he picked up on Kerry's margins in 2004, and that Romney will pick up at least halfway between McCain and Bush numbers, and in some cases ahead of Bush's numbers.
I have this in order of the polls closing. Get the lawyers ready for OH, CO, NH, and maybe even WI. Not sure Romney can pick off PA, MI, or MN, but he consistently across the board performs better in these states than in 2008 and in some states, better or close to 2004.
Here's hoping Michael Barone (a guy who does go precint by precint to the point he has them all memorized) is right.
If it's a Landslide, we only have to deal with the Looney Left rioting in the inner-city tribal parasite areas.....
Wow impressive! Bookmark for tomorrow.
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