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Nate Silver, 2009: Any Candidate Losing Independents "Must Necessarily" Lose The Election
Ace Of Spades HQ ^ | November 1, 2012 | Ace

Posted on 11/01/2012 8:10:29 PM PDT by FL2012

Lot of things have changed since then, though.

Like, for example: Silver's preferred candidate losing the independent vote.

(Excerpt) Read more at minx.cc ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: election; natesilver
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To: dalereed

excuse me, moneyball, what is it??


21 posted on 11/01/2012 10:03:43 PM PDT by dalereed
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To: dalereed

Meatball is something my grandmother from the old country used to make every Sunday...lol...:-D

Moneyball was a movie/book about the statistical method that Nate Silver or someone very much like him used to predict how baseball players would perform. Supposedly, teams now use it because it is very effective when signing players.


22 posted on 11/01/2012 10:09:38 PM PDT by 3Fingas (Sons and Daughters of Freedom, Committee of Correspondence)
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To: 3Fingas

Interesting factoid:

The Clint Eastwood movie, “Trouble with the Curve”, also about baseball, makes fun of this statistical system and implies that it can miss something a human can easily observe “i.e. someone who can hit fast balls all day, but can’t hit a curve ball to save his life”. Just thought it was apropos. Apparently, Nate Silver may be having trouble with his own curve.....Eastwood again...seeing things that others don’t.


23 posted on 11/01/2012 10:21:40 PM PDT by 3Fingas (Sons and Daughters of Freedom, Committee of Correspondence)
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To: FL2012

Great find!


24 posted on 11/01/2012 10:36:06 PM PDT by muwarriors92
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To: FL2012

51 ish 47 ish ~1% other — winner Romney. There’s that mystical number 47 again. Perhaps, it is ...the universal answer, not 42.


25 posted on 11/02/2012 5:41:36 AM PDT by 3Fingas (Sons and Daughters of Freedom, Committee of Correspondence)
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