Skip to comments.Nate Silver, 2009: Any Candidate Losing Independents "Must Necessarily" Lose The Election
Posted on 11/01/2012 8:10:29 PM PDT by FL2012
Lot of things have changed since then, though.
Like, for example: Silver's preferred candidate losing the independent vote.
(Excerpt) Read more at minx.cc ...
excuse me, moneyball, what is it??
Meatball is something my grandmother from the old country used to make every Sunday...lol...:-D
Moneyball was a movie/book about the statistical method that Nate Silver or someone very much like him used to predict how baseball players would perform. Supposedly, teams now use it because it is very effective when signing players.
The Clint Eastwood movie, “Trouble with the Curve”, also about baseball, makes fun of this statistical system and implies that it can miss something a human can easily observe “i.e. someone who can hit fast balls all day, but can’t hit a curve ball to save his life”. Just thought it was apropos. Apparently, Nate Silver may be having trouble with his own curve.....Eastwood again...seeing things that others don’t.
51 ish 47 ish ~1% other — winner Romney. There’s that mystical number 47 again. Perhaps, it is ...the universal answer, not 42.
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