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Oregon: Romney Behind By Just 2
TCJ Research ^ | 10/31/12 | TCJ Research

Posted on 10/31/2012 8:04:27 PM PDT by TeaPartyBob

This poll shows Barack at 47% (irony) in Oregon, with Mitt close behind at 45%.

Sample is D+5 ('08 was D+9). Indies go for Obama 46/44. High number of undecideds. Romney really could go for the blowout.

Expand the map!


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: election2012; obama; oregon; romney

1 posted on 10/31/2012 8:04:27 PM PDT by TeaPartyBob
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To: TeaPartyBob

Wow.

There the I’s are probably more leftist than they are in the rest of the country.


2 posted on 10/31/2012 8:07:02 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: TeaPartyBob

...and yet he’s behind by 5 in Ohio...

LMFAO


3 posted on 10/31/2012 8:07:41 PM PDT by BuckeyeGOP
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To: TeaPartyBob

Oh boy, I love how we’re marching into Blue states.


4 posted on 10/31/2012 8:07:54 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: jiggyboy; PA Engineer; blam; TigerLikesRooster; Cheap_Hessian; CJinVA; Jet Jaguar; ...

Poll ping


5 posted on 10/31/2012 8:09:23 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: TeaPartyBob

Might be worthwhile for Romney to spend some advertising money in Oregon. I think he still has $68 million to spend.


6 posted on 10/31/2012 8:11:18 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: TeaPartyBob

And this is why the talking point of Nate Silver and the rest of how Zero can win the electoral vote and lose the popular vote because he’s doing “well” in Ohio is a bunch of nonsense.

If he’s losing the popular vote by 3-4 points, then even if he squeaks by in Ohio he’s bleed support elsewhere, and clearly it appears to be Iowa, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Michigan, and Oregon. Holding on in Ohio means nothing if he loses even 2 of those states.

He will not win the electoral vote if he loses the popular vote by 3 or more points.


7 posted on 10/31/2012 8:11:21 PM PDT by Truthsearcher
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To: TeaPartyBob

Oh my God. This really is good news. I love Oregon and would love to see it on the right side for a change.


8 posted on 10/31/2012 8:12:41 PM PDT by FryingPan101 (2016 looms)
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To: TeaPartyBob

Oregon is looking very good right now. The internals are very good for our candidates. We are busting our humps to make this happen.

Pray for America


9 posted on 10/31/2012 8:13:44 PM PDT by bray (Nov 6, tell Obama to Stand Down!)
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To: TeaPartyBob

My friend lives in Portland(She and her husband are both registered Republicans) she said that even though you got the liberal freaks that are in many parts of Portland, its not what it used to be..it used to be non stop libs everywhere, now she said she has seen many more Romney signs then Obama ones


10 posted on 10/31/2012 8:14:23 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: TeaPartyBob; LS

Take them all Mitt, take them all!


11 posted on 10/31/2012 8:15:16 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: FryingPan101

Those 2 professors from Colorado had Romney winning OR. I dismissed it at the time, but, maybe - just maybe............


12 posted on 10/31/2012 8:15:24 PM PDT by Catsrus (WANT)
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To: TeaPartyBob
8% are not undecided at this point. 5% of that 8% are not telling a pollster who they are voting for or if they are not voting in a dem state.

You do not get that many undecided 5 days before an election.

13 posted on 10/31/2012 8:15:27 PM PDT by Lady Heron
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To: TeaPartyBob

I’m sorry, but between this, and Breibart pointing out the recent PA poll has O up by 4 but losing Indys by 16%, and this is HUGE.

Obama can’t win Ohio. This math SCREAMS at me as being garbage, and I’m not great with numbers. Or maybe I’m a fool.


14 posted on 10/31/2012 8:15:45 PM PDT by Shadow44
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To: TeaPartyBob

I think it would be a hoot if Obama took Ohio only to find Romney running the table on him in places like PA, MN, and OR.

Of course, I’d prefer it if Ohioans were sensible enough to vote for R/R. I’m just sayin’ it would be hilarious to see all that Obama campaign money spent this summer trying to “poison” Ohio against Romney turn out to be a waste of time and effort.


15 posted on 10/31/2012 8:16:18 PM PDT by DemforBush (100% Ex-Democrat.)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks TeaPartyBob.


16 posted on 10/31/2012 8:17:46 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Shadow44

How can Romney be close in PA, MI, MN and OR and not be crushing in the purple swing states like OH, FL, VA?

Under the top line of every poll, Romney’s numbers are astounding. I mean, really for a challenger against an incumbent president.

I’ve got that 1994 feeling again. I think we are going to be watching a stunned media on Tuesday nite as the real numbers start coming in. And it is going to sweep in a republican senate as well. Just too much data that it will go big for the republicans.


17 posted on 10/31/2012 8:19:30 PM PDT by gswilder
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To: TeaPartyBob

Looks like fence sitters and third partiers might wish to reconsider their strategery.


18 posted on 10/31/2012 8:21:33 PM PDT by going hot (Happiness is a momma deuce)
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To: TeaPartyBob

That Indi number is way low. They are breaking strong for Romney and so are a lot of Dems.


19 posted on 10/31/2012 8:26:08 PM PDT by bray (Nov 6, tell Obama to Stand Down!)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Having recently moved from the Portland/Vancouver area I can say that the libs are everywhere. Like cockroaches, just because you don’t see them doesn’t mean that they aren’t there. :-)


20 posted on 10/31/2012 8:26:37 PM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: TeaPartyBob

From the website:

About

TCJ Research is a Republican-backed, privately owned polling group that launched in 2010. We gained notoriety (unofficially) as the most accurate House pollster of the midterm, with our 7 House polls trending to the Republicans by a slim margin of 1.2 points, on average.


21 posted on 10/31/2012 8:26:56 PM PDT by Eccl 10:2 (Prov 3:5 --- "Trust in the Lord with all your heart and lean not on your own understanding")
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To: Truthsearcher
He will not win the electoral vote if he loses the popular vote by 3 or more points.

He will probably not win the electoral vote if he loses the popular vote by 1 or more points, and surely not by 2 or more. The polls are definitely out of synch with each other solely based on the expected partisan turnout. Karl Rove, Gallup,and Rasmussen vs. Nate Silver, PPP, and CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac, etc.

22 posted on 10/31/2012 8:27:17 PM PDT by af_vet_1981 (The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began,)
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To: Parley Baer
Might be worthwhile for Romney to spend some advertising money in Oregon. I think he still has $68 million to spend.

Oh-my-gawd yes! That would be great. Nab Oregon on a last minute effort.
23 posted on 10/31/2012 8:29:31 PM PDT by verum ago (Some people must truly be in love, for only love can be so blind.)
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To: TeaPartyBob

From the website:

About

TCJ Research is a Republican-backed, privately owned polling group that launched in 2010. We gained notoriety (unofficially) as the most accurate House pollster of the midterm, with our 7 House polls trending to the Republicans by a slim margin of 1.2 points, on average.


24 posted on 10/31/2012 8:32:22 PM PDT by Eccl 10:2 (Prov 3:5 --- "Trust in the Lord with all your heart and lean not on your own understanding")
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To: gswilder

Get ready for the tantrum; too bad Peter Jennings isn’t here to witness it again.


25 posted on 10/31/2012 8:32:47 PM PDT by GEC (We're not drilling in ANWR because....)
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To: tatown

LOL yeah I know what you mean..I live in LA and here you STILL see idiots driving around with Obama stickers on their cars(Yeah its the Prius..what is it with libs and their Prius, they think they are saving the planet by driving a Prius LOL) a few days ago I was visiting my sister and a block away from her I saw 4 houses with Obama signs..I wanted to gag..but hey its LA so surprise surprise


26 posted on 10/31/2012 8:33:04 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

Poll ping.


27 posted on 10/31/2012 8:33:08 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: GEC

Can’t wait for Chris Mathews to literally hang himself on national TV on election night


28 posted on 10/31/2012 8:35:58 PM PDT by wille777
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To: gswilder

I know, I see the same thing as you. It looks good everywhere, as bad as I want to deny it so as not to get too cocky.


29 posted on 10/31/2012 8:42:15 PM PDT by Free Vulcan (Election 2012 - America stands or falls. No more excuses. Get involved.)
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To: wille777

“Can’t wait for Chris Mathews to literally hang himself on national TV on election night”

LOL


30 posted on 10/31/2012 8:42:37 PM PDT by FryingPan101 (2016 looms)
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To: Eccl 10:2

Wonder with Realclearpolitics doesn’t use these polls. Would help counteract the crap from PPP.


31 posted on 10/31/2012 8:52:37 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: gswilder

EXACTLY!!!!!

I have been asking for a couple of weeks now how can it be so close in these other states, Romney be ahead in the national vote, very ahead with men, tied with women, way ahead with independents yet losing in Ohio, the ultimate bellweather?

Those stupid electoral maps that the ass hat media always show with more Dem EV’s than GOP will still show Ohio and probably Florida as yellow “toss up” states probably for two days after the election while they come to grips with a probable Romney win.


32 posted on 10/31/2012 9:05:06 PM PDT by ctpsb (Thanks.)
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To: TeaPartyBob

This is probably not a great revelation but I’m not sure at this point why a bigger play is not made for New Mexico. It elects statewide Republicans (incl Guv and Senate) on a fairly regular basis and voted for Bush in 2004 yet was considered an Obama state.


33 posted on 10/31/2012 9:08:54 PM PDT by ctpsb (Thanks.)
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To: TeaPartyBob

That would be just to friggin sweeeeeet


34 posted on 10/31/2012 9:16:55 PM PDT by Nifster
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To: Nifster

We have been working for 3 years to make this happen and Oregon is not as liberal as many think. You go outside of downtown PTown and it is very Conservative to Independent.

We just have to beat PTown but we know how they think and are fighting them at their own game. It will happen.

Pray for America


35 posted on 10/31/2012 9:28:25 PM PDT by bray (Nov 6, tell Obama to Stand Down!)
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To: TeaPartyBob

Oregon is a mail-in ONLY state, which means 90% have already voted. The cake is already baked...no sense spending $$$ there.


36 posted on 10/31/2012 9:34:54 PM PDT by cookcounty ("When I speak, I say what I mean and I mean what I say!" ---Joe Biden, 10/11/2012)
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To: TeaPartyBob

Send Paul Ryan out west for two days...let him hit Nevada, Colorado, Minnesota and Oregon.


37 posted on 10/31/2012 9:36:57 PM PDT by proudpapa
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To: TeaPartyBob
Let's hope these guys are on to something. In their other polls...

National: Mitt Romney- 50%, Barack Obama- 47%

Ohio: Mitt Romney- 50%, Barack Obama- 47%

Wisconsin: Mitt Romney- 50%, Barack Obama- 48%

Colorado: Mitt Romney- 51%, Barack Obama- 47%

Minnesota: Barack Obama- 49%, Mitt Romney- 46%

Nevada Barack Obama- 50%, Mitt Romney- 47%
38 posted on 10/31/2012 10:03:36 PM PDT by GLDNGUN
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To: DemforBush
I think it would be a hoot if Obama took Ohio only to find Romney running the table on him in places like PA, MN, and OR.

There is no way my nerves could take that!

39 posted on 10/31/2012 10:36:42 PM PDT by RPTMS
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To: cookcounty

Not really, only 35% have voted in fraud by mail so far.


40 posted on 10/31/2012 10:42:02 PM PDT by bray (Nov 6, tell Obama to Stand Down!)
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To: Arthurio
Wonder with Realclearpolitics doesn’t use these polls. Would help counteract the crap from PPP.

The latest PPP polls were taken out of the RCP average because they were basically advocacy work for a Democrat PAC called Health Care for America Now.

These guys refuse to release their cross-tabs and claim that they funded by a Republican donor, who they also refuse to disclose.

Thus, they are widely discredited within the polling community.

41 posted on 10/31/2012 10:52:31 PM PDT by NYRepublican72
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To: wille777
Can’t wait for Chris Mathews to literally hang himself on national TV on election night

This will happen regardless of who wins the presidency. In the event of an Obama victory, it will be autoerotic asphyxiation.

42 posted on 10/31/2012 11:00:40 PM PDT by Junior_G (Funny how liberals' love affair with Muslims began on 9/11)
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To: bray

Prayin hard. I know that PTown (or Portlandia as I am now fond of calling it) is populated by Californians gone north and is very liberal (almost as bad as Seattle). Like California when you get away from the cities rational people populate the state. Here’s sending voting strength your way


43 posted on 10/31/2012 11:02:44 PM PDT by Nifster
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To: bray

I love OR; my daughter lives there and I thought about moving there but taxes and other lib policies are concerning me. Did you see this voter intimidaton in OR? http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/10/31/AFL-CIO-Warns-Oregon-Voters-We-Will-Know-Who-You-Voted-For


44 posted on 11/01/2012 9:21:11 AM PDT by Rusty0604
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