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McCain crosses Intrade 50% both bid/ask for first time!!!!
Intrade ^ | 9/10/08 | NYCfearsome

Posted on 09/10/2008 11:36:39 AM PDT by NYCFearsome

FOR THE FIRST TIME, MCCAIN CROSSES 50% MARK.

(Excerpt) Read more at intrade.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: electionpresident; intrade; mccainpalin; politicalfutures
I KNOW THESE MARKETS ARE THINLY TRADED AND CONTAIN MANY IMPERFECTIONS. HOWEVER, THEY ARE REMAIN A SIGNIFICANT TOOL IN TAKING THE PULSE OF PEOPLE'S SENTIMENTS AND BELIEFS AND DESIRES AND DO HAVE PREDICTIVE VALUE. I KEEP AN EYE AON A BUNCH OF THEM AND THEY ARE ALL TRENDING SIMILARLY ALONG WITH THE ONLINE BOOKMAKERS AROUND THE WORLD AND OBAMA'S ODDS ARE BEGINNING TO CHANGE. TEH AVERAGE HAS BEEN -$200 AND IS NOW -$170 WILL UPDATE!!!!!
1 posted on 09/10/2008 11:36:39 AM PDT by NYCFearsome
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To: NYCFearsome

The DUmmies are going to lose it. The one thing they used to help ease the pain was the “Intrade” numbers that they claim are better than polls because “people are actually putting their money on it” .

snicker.....


2 posted on 09/10/2008 11:38:25 AM PDT by icwhatudo (If my brother-n-law threatened to kill my father-I'd tell his boss too (Just like Palin did))
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To: NYCFearsome

Intrade is interesting and thats about it IMO. Only last week, they listed a prop bet on Palin leaving the race and now it appears to be gone. Remember the wild fluctuations in the repub vp race leading up to the Palin announcement.

Enjoy the entertainment, but its a LONG way to go and no time for a touchdown dance.


3 posted on 09/10/2008 11:41:01 AM PDT by Doug TX
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To: NYCFearsome
Great news!!

You beat me to it. I'll ask the mods to delete my thread.

4 posted on 09/10/2008 11:41:13 AM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: NYCFearsome

Great!!!!


5 posted on 09/10/2008 11:42:24 AM PDT by jporcus
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To: NYCFearsome
I KNOW THESE MARKETS ARE THINLY TRADED

How much is the total market capitalization for the "stock" for either Obama or McCain? If someone (cough, Soros, cough) were to toss in a million dollars on Obama, how much would that shift the market?

6 posted on 09/10/2008 11:42:45 AM PDT by KarlInOhio (Whale oil: the renewable biofuel for the 21st century.)
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To: icwhatudo
The one thing they used to help ease the pain was the “Intrade” numbers that they claim are better than polls because “people are actually putting their money on it”.

Coming from liberals that is quite ironic.

7 posted on 09/10/2008 11:44:44 AM PDT by Straight Vermonter (Posting from deep behind the Maple Curtain)
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To: NYCFearsome; All

Does anyone know what happened at about 11:00 A.M. EDT this morning?

That’s when McCain started to spike up.

There was another burst of an upward McCain spike at about 1:15 P.M. EDT.

Does anyone know what happened at that time?


8 posted on 09/10/2008 11:45:17 AM PDT by Momaw Nadon ("...with the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world.")
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To: Momaw Nadon

Let’s see—Glenn Beck, Rush Limbaugh,and a Pig w/ Lipstick?


9 posted on 09/10/2008 11:49:15 AM PDT by madison10 (Pray for McCains, Palins and the USA...and the rest of us, too.)
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To: Momaw Nadon

I believe that the spikes coincided with the media backlash concerning the mystery of the dead fish found with lipstick...


10 posted on 09/10/2008 11:50:54 AM PDT by NYCFearsome
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To: NYCFearsome
WHY ARE YOU SHOUTING!?!
11 posted on 09/10/2008 11:51:56 AM PDT by Petronski (Zero-bama. All this time we thought it was an "O" but, nope, it's just a "0".)
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To: NYCFearsome

http://www.pring.com/movieweb/election2008/election2008.html

technical analysis of markets showing McCain/Palin breaking out

(trying to sell financial newsletters but analysis is good)

Obama breaks below neckline of head and shoulders top.

McCain breaks above neckline of an inverse head and shoulders bottom.


12 posted on 09/10/2008 11:52:59 AM PDT by FreedomProtector
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To: NYCFearsome

They mean very little. McCain was trading at 7 cents not too long before the IA caucuses.

Remember presidential candidate Guiliani? He was trading at around 50 for awhile.

I’ve seen, on election day states go from 90 to 5 back to 100. This markets are extremely volatile.

They more or less follow the conventional wisdom. For my part I own a ton of Obama contracts and see this as a buying opportunity. I don’t care who I think is gonna win. It’s just if he does I want to have something to soothe the pain. I consider it a hedge. If McCain wins I’ll be so happy I won’t care about the lost Money.


13 posted on 09/10/2008 11:54:43 AM PDT by AirForceGeorge
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To: Momaw Nadon

Q: Does anyone know what happened at about 11:00 A.M. EDT this morning? That’s when McCain started to spike up.

A: JC & SP were scheduled to hold a campaign rally in Fairfax, VA at 11 ET.


14 posted on 09/10/2008 11:56:44 AM PDT by Yak
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To: NYCFearsome
Bid/ask is just under 50, and Obama is above 50, so it is getting real real close.

No Graph Available!

15 posted on 09/10/2008 11:56:55 AM PDT by Plutarch
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To: NYCFearsome
Bid/ask is just under 50, and Obama is above 50, so it is getting real real close.

No Graph Available!

16 posted on 09/10/2008 11:57:09 AM PDT by Plutarch
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To: Petronski

Very happy. Everything is turning. All the different vital signs that one can use to take a “pulse” are going the same way. Not too long ago those percentages were 65% Obama/35% Mccain. Just happy and trying to share it.


17 posted on 09/10/2008 11:57:41 AM PDT by NYCFearsome
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To: Yak

Oops . . . meant “JmC” for John McCain. Sorry for the mis-abbreviation.


18 posted on 09/10/2008 11:57:51 AM PDT by Yak
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To: Yak

Oops . . . meant “JmC” for John McCain. Sorry for the mis-abbreviation.


19 posted on 09/10/2008 11:57:52 AM PDT by Yak
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To: All

Hype this! Loudly!!

It means nothing BUT . . . BUT . . . it CAN depress Obama’s donor base. It is THERE that the war will be won, and possibly in the next 3 weeks. If he doesn’t have money, the GOTV effort won’t get funded.


20 posted on 09/10/2008 12:09:51 PM PDT by Owen
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To: icwhatudo
It was interesting to watch as people started dumping Obama's stock, and McCain's stock was rising... curiously Hillary's stock starting going up as well. She's +.03 again today. Hmmm...whats going on with that??
21 posted on 09/10/2008 4:27:16 PM PDT by 1-Eagle (REMEMBER every vote counts toward the "mandate"... ALL VOTES ARE NEEDED!)
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To: Doug TX

They still have the contract on Gov Palin dropping out, it’s just not on their selected or most traded tabs any longer.

http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/common/c_cd.jsp?conDetailID=638242&z=1221093466430


22 posted on 09/10/2008 5:43:07 PM PDT by javachip
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