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North Korea Could Launch a Swarm Strike Using Tech Straight out of World War II
http://nationalinterest.org/ ^ | 3/16/18 | Sebastien Roblin

Posted on 03/17/2018 3:03:20 AM PDT by BBell

The North Korean People’s Air Force is predominantly composed of Soviet jet designs from the 1950s, or at least their Chinese clones, plus a smaller number of aircraft from the 1970s and 1980s. However, the most numerous aircraft in North Korean service is even more antiquated: a single-engine biplane transport that first flew in 1947. North Korea operates over three hundred An-2 and Y-5 biplane transports in at least six regiments, and they play a key role in its military strategy.

How could these chunky biplanes pose a threat to adversaries fielding guided missiles and supersonic stealth fighters? North Korea has a found a way, banking on its own experience in the Korean War.

Even when the first An-2 prototype was unveiled in the Soviet Union in 1947, its biplane configuration seemed anachronistic. Aircraft with two wings exhibit more lift, lower stall speeds and superior maneuverability—but the extra drag created by the second wing imposes steep limitations on maximum speed. This led biplane designs to rapidly fall into obsolescence by the start of World War II.

However, renowned air transport designer Oleg Antonov had appreciated how slow two-seat Po-2 utility biplanes had proven highly successful at harassing German troops at night, and landing supplies and secret agents behind enemy lines; they were difficult for fast fighters to detect and intercept, and their excellent low-speed handling allowed them to operate from very short, unprepared fields. Antonov’s idea was to basically scale the Po-2 up to a light transport for agricultural and civilian use from primitive airfields across the USSR’s vast, lightly populated frontiers.

The basic An-2 has a single, throaty one-thousand-horsepower ASh-62r radial engine that rattles like a tractor. This can push the fabric-and-aluminum aircraft to maximum speeds of little more than 160 miles per hour and out to a range of 560 miles. Its cargo compartment can accommodate up to twelve passengers, or between one or two tons of cargo. Though a bit of a tail dragger, the An-2 is a remarkably forgiving aircraft, as the added lift from its biplane configuration and two sets of full-wing length flaps means it can operate at speeds as slow as thirty miles per hour without stalling.

In fact, if flown into a sufficiently strong headwind, an An-2 can almost hover in place, or even briefly fly backwards. These low-speed characteristics give An-2s an almost helicopter-like ability to take off or land from short and very rough, unprepared airfields, as you can see in this video. Of course, helicopters are even more flexible and fly at comparable speeds, but they are also considerably more expensive and maintenance-intensive. An-2s on the market typically cost between $30,000 and $100,000.

Soviet economic and military planners caught on to the An-2’s potential after Stalin’s death and it became a global hit, with exports to more than fifty countries and production eventually moving to Poland. China also license-built thousands of An-2 clones, called the Y-5. More than eighteen thousand of the pokey biplanes were eventually built, with Polish factories not ending production until 2001. China is still building Y-5s, and I have frequently observed the biplanes overflying dusty rural regions in northern China.

Although most renowned for civilian service as passenger liners, air ambulances and crop dusters—the An-2 was nicknamed Kukuruznik (“Corn Eater”)—the An-2 also had plenty of useful military applications (NATO codenamed it “Colt”), ranging from logistics to parachute training, artillery observation and infiltrating special-operations troops. Dozens of specialized variants were developed, including An-2V floatplanes and even ski-equipped Colts for arctic operations.

By one count, An-2s were used in over forty conflicts, primarily in transport, observation and occasionally light attack roles. A quartet of North Vietnamese An-2s once attacked a secret U.S. base in Laos with rockets and mortar shells dropped out a side door—though one was shot down by small-arms fire from a Huey helicopter. In 1991 the newborn Croatian Air Force used an An-2 to ferry supplies to the besieged city of Vukovar, and even attacked Serb forces using barrel bombs made out of boilers and fuel drums.

During the Korean War, North Korea had used Po-2 utility planes in a similar fashion as the Soviets had in World War II to launch night raids behind UN lines, which sometimes inflicted considerable damage. U.S. ground-based radars struggled to detect the slow and low-flying intruders, while sophisticated radar-equipped night fighters only succeeded in shooting down thirteen.

The KPAAF received its first An-2s before the war’s end, but it’s not clear if they saw action. However, the KPA clearly saw the potential for the An-2 to pick up where the Po-2 had left off. The An-2’s capabilities synergized especially well with the emphasis North Korea accords to infiltrating its special-forces branch—the largest in the world, numbering around two hundred thousand personnel—deep behind South Korean lines to create a “second front.”

Ground-skimming An-2s would offer a useful platform to parachute or air-land elite commandos to attack key bases and installations, disrupt supply lines and generally spread chaos. Indeed, in 2015 the KPA conducted three separate large-scale parachute exercises involving fifteen thousand commandos. The An-2s have featured prominently in state media; for example, in 2015, Korean Central News published a photo of Kim Jong-un sitting in the cockpit of a “new” An-2, which he ostensibly had tested personally.

The same year, the press proudly announced the An-2s had received a new camouflage scheme (green on top, blue on the bottom) to make them hard to distinguish from both the ground and air. In fact the An-2s have reportedly been maintained to a higher standards of readiness than the KPAF’s dilapidated fleet of jet fighters.

Wouldn’t such primitive aircraft be vulnerable to South Korean air defenses and fighters? Yes, but only to a point. The An-2 already has a reduced radar profile due to its fabric surface, which is less radar reflective. The KPAF has reportedly replaced additional aluminum surfaces on its An-2s with canvas and fabric, and even installed wooden propellers to further reduce the signature. Additionally, the An-2’s ability to hug the terrain of Korea’s famously rugged mountains would help mask it from the radars of ground-based surface-to-air missiles, and pose a challenge to airborne radars. Finally, the Kukuruznik’s slow speed may cause some radars to eliminate it from the track as background noise.

This is not to say that the An-2 is an invulnerable stealth plane. Some will inevitably be detected, and they would be exposed to any short-range air defenses, including heat-seeking shoulder-fired Stinger missiles, heavy machine guns and rapid-fire autocannons. However, surging dozens or hundreds of difficult-to-detect An-2s could easily overwhelm the air defenses on the DMZ, even if the losses sustained in doing so might be considered unacceptable to a Western military mentality.

North Korean An-2s have also been modified to fire unguided rockets, rocket-propelled grenades and bombs, perhaps to provide air support for the special operators after they have been dropped off. You can see a video from 2014 of Kim Jong-un looking on as a rocket-equipped Il-2 blasts a target on a grassy field here—followed by a similar demonstration from a Yak-18 two-seat trainer, which was employed successfully as a night intruder during the Korean War.

The Drive’s Tyler Rogoway has also suggested An-2s could serve as a delivery system for a small nuclear bomb, although this would only be possible if North Korea develops a sufficiently lightweight nuclear warhead. Furthermore, given the dicey odds of any one individual An-2 penetrating the air-defense gauntlet, such a strategy would likely require warheads redundantly deployed on multiple aircraft.

The threat of being swarmed by low-observable biplanes has apparently led South Korea to acquire two An-2s of its own, so that its F-15 fighters can practice interceptions, according to this article in NK News. The reality is that, while an An-2 infiltration swarm would be difficult to repel, it would still likely be a suicide mission for many of the pilots. However, the aircraft are expendable, costing less than most of the guided missiles that might be fired at them, and North Korean infiltrators have exhibited a willingness to sustain heavy casualties and fight to the death during their many previous misadventures.

Pyongyang’s antiquated combat aircraft have limited prospects in a head-to-head confrontation with South Korean airpower, let alone that of the United States. The KPA’s continued investments in its An-2 is an example of how it has put considerable thought and effort in finding ways for its outdated hardware to project a credible asymmetric threat.

The An-2 will remain in service for many more years in the twenty-first century, largely in peaceful civilian roles. Hopefully a bloody conflict on the Korean Peninsula will not become part of its colorful history.

Sébastien Roblin holds a master’s degree in conflict resolution from Georgetown University and served as a university instructor for the Peace Corps in China. He has also worked in education, editing and refugee resettlement in France and the United States. He currently writes on security and military history for War Is Boring.


TOPICS: Military/Veterans
KEYWORDS: an2; antonovan2; aswarmstrike; northkorea
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To: BBell

During the Korean War, the North Koreans successfully used Soviet U-2 biplanes for nighttime bombing raids against the UN forces. The Soviets had used the U-2 for the same purpose during WWII. Some of these planes exist today, and a few of them still fly.

A successful rock band even took its name from this Soviet biplane.


21 posted on 03/17/2018 6:09:16 AM PDT by Fiji Hill
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To: BBell
This may appear to be a good idea until people realize this isn't World War II vintage radar the North Koreans have to deal with. Modern phased-array radar are quite difficult to jam, and all the Americans need to do is mount a bunch of AA guns equipped with the M2 "Ma Deuce" machine guns to shoot them down.
22 posted on 03/17/2018 6:15:04 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's Economic Cure)
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To: BBell

“could reek havoc initially during the onset of a war...”

That must be a really bad smelling airplane.


23 posted on 03/17/2018 6:17:47 AM PDT by Scott from the Left Coast
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To: Scott from the Left Coast

You’ve never been inside a CH-47 Chinook in August.

;^)


24 posted on 03/17/2018 6:58:47 AM PDT by elcid1970 ("The Second Amendment is more important than Islam. Buy ammo.")
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To: FreedomPoster

It’s already happened

https://theaviationgeekclub.com/incredible-story-air-america-uh-1d-huey-shot-north-vietnamese-2-colt-biplane/

Which is a story of how a UH-1 shot down a N Vietnamese biplane.

IMO, biplanes are WWI state of the art technology that ended in WWII. And by 1967 helicopters were capable of shooting them down.

This article is obviously written by a leftist military master-mindless.


25 posted on 03/17/2018 6:58:56 AM PDT by redfreedom
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To: miniTAX

When he referred to the An-2 as “a bit of a tail dragger” was when I became certain that he knew nothing about aircraft.


26 posted on 03/17/2018 6:58:57 AM PDT by HartleyMBaldwin
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To: redfreedom

Oh yeah, I already knew that story.

Now imagine how much more capable an AH-64 is than a UH-1.

How many Stingers can an AH-64 carry? Not to mention that 30mm chain gun is probably tough on a fabric biplane.

Leftist moron military analysis for sure.


27 posted on 03/17/2018 7:01:51 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: Scott from the Left Coast
It 'reeks' because it is full of NorK special kimchi, made with tree bark instead of cabbage. 😉
28 posted on 03/17/2018 7:04:23 AM PDT by A Formerly Proud Canadian (I once was blind but now I see...)
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To: FreedomPoster
I’m thinking an Apache would make a great anti-AN-2 platform

One A-10 Warthog could “reek havoc” with them as well!!🤣🤣🤣

29 posted on 03/17/2018 7:05:10 AM PDT by jdsteel (Americans are Dreamers too!!!)
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To: jonascord
He's a Liberal. Brilliant beyond any measurement. Just ask him, and he'll tell you.

“It isn't so much that liberals are ignorant. It's just that they know so many things that aren't so.” ― Ronald Reagan

30 posted on 03/17/2018 7:18:04 AM PDT by JimRed ( TERM LIMITS, NOW! Build the Wall Faster! TRUTH is the new HATE SPEECH.)
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To: miniTAX

yup - the writer is a dumbshit idiot.


31 posted on 03/17/2018 7:19:26 AM PDT by vooch (America First Drain the Swamp)
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To: BBell

LOL
We still have DC-3s and a single AN-2 hauling cargo here in Alaska - the last of the DC-6s were just retired.

The An-2 is a brilliant machine for rural and non-technical areas - Africa come to mind. While many here love to deride the aircraft of the Old Soviet, they are pragmatic designs for use in ‘undeveloped’ parts of the world.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antonov_An-2

www.bbc.com/future/story/20150415-the-plane-that-can-fly-backwards

and
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sV4dk5cYRf0


32 posted on 03/17/2018 8:46:51 AM PDT by ASOC (Having humility really means one is rarely humiliated)
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To: ASOC

Least anyone think the AN-2 is a dead design - there is a “bionic’ AN-2 - with turbine power, Fowler flaps and wingtip vortice generators for extreme STOL

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jgOPpf3Impw

enjoy


33 posted on 03/17/2018 8:55:56 AM PDT by ASOC (Having humility really means one is rarely humiliated)
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To: Hot Tabasco

There are hundreds of these aircraft still in use around the world and they are still produced. They are cheap and cheap to maintain.


34 posted on 03/17/2018 11:39:21 AM PDT by BBell (calm down and eat your sandwiches)
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To: Aqua225; RayChuang88
I have a layman understanding of radar but I do have a question. How do the Norks manage to send drones over the border periodically that are undetected. I realize they are small but some of them are somewhat larger although nothing on the scale of an AN 2. I also understand that we may be detecting every one of their drones but we are smart enough not to show our hand.

Never inform the enemy he is making a mistake.


35 posted on 03/17/2018 11:47:36 AM PDT by BBell (calm down and eat your sandwiches)
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To: ASOC

Awesome!! This is one of the reasons this is one of my favorites planes.


36 posted on 03/17/2018 12:44:47 PM PDT by BBell (calm down and eat your sandwiches)
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To: BBell
There are hundreds of these aircraft still in use around the world and they are still produced.

Of course they are, I can't argue against that. But what are the chances that NK has access to those parts in order to keep their own planes flyable? It's quite likely that their antique planes are still on their original tires............

37 posted on 03/17/2018 1:33:46 PM PDT by Hot Tabasco (My cat is not fat, she is just big boned........)
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To: Hot Tabasco
But what are the chances that NK has access to those parts in order to keep their own planes flyable?

Ah, maybe because China borders North Korea on the North? And China still produces this type of aircraft?

38 posted on 03/17/2018 1:38:28 PM PDT by BBell (calm down and eat your sandwiches)
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To: BBell
And China still produces this type of aircraft?

1950's and 60's aircraft? I don't think so...............

But for the sake of argument, let's say they do. S. Korea is armed in the 21st century along with the U.S..

N. Korea is still stuck in the 50's, 60's and 70's..........

With the exception of artillery aimed at S. Korea, anything else they may launch into the air will be destroyed..........NK's air force is an Air Farce...........

39 posted on 03/17/2018 2:27:20 PM PDT by Hot Tabasco (My cat is not fat, she is just big boned........)
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To: Hot Tabasco

18,000+ of these type of aircraft were built. The Poles produced them until 2001. They just had a new variant role out in 2017. I don’t recall where from. This plane has a cult following. Granted the newer AN 2 is not your Grandpa’s AN 2. AN 2 variants are still being produced.


40 posted on 03/17/2018 3:07:57 PM PDT by BBell (calm down and eat your sandwiches)
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