Posted on 09/25/2016 4:18:48 PM PDT by V K Lee
She’s in trouble, people.
First, let’s look at some recent top line data:
Trump has a three-point advantage over Clinton among likely voters in the Silver State (43–40 percent). Libertarian Gary Johnson receives eight percent. Nevada voters also can cast a ballot for “none of these,” and that option takes four percent. Green Party candidate Jill Stein is not on the ballot in Nevada.
…
In North Carolina, Trump is up by five points among likely voters. He receives 45 percent to Clinton’s 40 percent, and 6 percent favor Johnson. Stein is not on the ballot.
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The Buckeye State is another must-win for Trump, and the poll finds him up by five points among likely voters: 42–37 percent. Johnson receives six percent and Stein gets two percent.
While I am aware that the general election is a very different beast than the primaries, I can’t help but feel that conditions are very similar to what was happening at the end of the Republican primaries when voters suddenly broke decisively for Trump. Recall that Cruz had been looking very strong after Wisconsin, and both Cruz and his supporters seemed to think a strong showing in New York might be possible.
And then after he made the mistake of publicly celebrating his “voterless victory” in Colorado, everything suddenly changed. His poll numbers crashed and he began losing critical primaries to Trump, with more and more polls and events going Trump’s way culminating in Trump’s win in Indiana. The reason I bring Cruz up is that I feel events are developing in a very similar way to the manner in which the Republican primary ended.
After weeks of calling Trump supporters conspiracy theorists for asking questions about her health, she collapsed on September 11th, alarming both her supporters and the American public. While the data in this article is a bit old, by the time her collapse happened, her favorable ratings had already fallen through the floor:
Even after becoming the presumptive Democratic nominee, Clinton has seen little improvement in her standing among Democrats and Democratic leaners. According to Gallup, Clinton’s favorable rating among those groups was 68 percent on the day of the California primary (June 7). Today, it stands at 70 percent. In other words, nearly a third of Democrats don’t hold a favorable view of her. At this point in the 2008 campaign, only 14 percent of Democrats didn’t hold a favorable view of Barack Obama, according to Gallup — 84 percent did. Even if most Democrats prefer Clinton to Trump, a sizable portion of them do so at this point without liking her.
I believe the collapse proved to be Hillary’s Colorado moment, which caused voters to make some decisions and switch to supporting Trump. Again, also similar to Indiana, the Clinton campaign seems to have begun lurching from disaster to disaster. She never showed up in Louisiana:
Three days after the devastation occurred, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump and running mate Mike Pence toured and area and handed out supplies. President Obama — rightly criticized both for not interrupting his Martha’s Vineyard vacation to visit, but more importantly, not even making one statement on the matter while away — went to Louisiana five days after Trump and Pence.
Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton has promised she will only visit the area “at a time when the presence of a political campaign will not disrupt the response.” Most media collectively nodded it’s head in agreement with Clinton’s perspective and have moved on since the waters receded.
So here we are, nearly three weeks after the fact. Her opponent and her former boss have each gone to the state, both reportedly not hampering recovery efforts in any capacity. If Clinton went now all this time later, it’s doubtful she would be getting in the way of anything.
While the national media has moved on, The Advocate — Louisiana’s largest newspaper — directly challenged Clinton four days ago in an op-ed.
She blew it at the Candidate Forum...[snip]
Suddenly, Lauer is garbage, no better—in the eyes of the mainstream media—than some basement-dwelling right-wing blogger.
His sin? He allowed Trump to speak during the candidate forum, and didn’t press the Republican presidential nominee on his answers to the liking of the liberal media. This morning, I detailed the extent of the hate being spewed against Lauer by his colleagues in the mainstream media.
And it’s not letting up. The New York Times editorial board wrote on Friday that moderators should do more than ask questions and let candidates answer—they should engage in rigorous (probably NYT–approved) fact checking.
…
It seems obvious they’re all just upset that Trump hasn’t said or done anything to take the heat off of Clinton’s two weeks of bad news coverage. Previously, whenever bad news broke for Clinton, Trump was there to say or do something outrageous that would suck up attention and allow Clinton to skate scrutiny. That has changed since Kellyanne Conway became campaign manager, Steve Bannon of Breitbart News became campaign CEO, and Jamestown Associates (full disclosure: a group I am collaborating with on a documentary) took over communications.
They launched an attack on a cartoon frog:
In an attempt to horrify potential Clinton supporters, Elizabeth Chan, one of Clinton’s senior strategists wrote, that Pepe the Frog is a “symbol associated with white supremacy.”
“Wait. Really? White supremacy?,” the post continues before explaining that “Pepe is a cartoon frog who began his internet life as an innocent meme enjoyed by teenagers and pop stars alike.”
“But in recent months, Pepe’s been almost entirely co-opted by the white supremacists who call themselves the ‘alt-right.’ They’ve decided to take back Pepe by adding swastikas and other symbols of anti-semitism and white supremacy,” it continues.
The post then uses this as an attempt to attack Trump, who retweeted a mocked up image of himself as Pepe the Frog in October last year.
This is not a well-running campaign. This is the sign of a rudderless and confused campaign flailing around helplessly, sensing the moment is slipping away from them, and unsure of how to stop the bleeding. Instead, they’re making gaffe after gaffe, and there’s no sign that they know how to respond to Trump creeping up on Hillary in the polls. That they’ve gone back to the tactics of inciting violent riots like the ones in Charlotte is a sign of how much trouble they are in, as they already had to abandon this tactic when it was causing Trump’s poll numbers to go up immediately prior to the convention. ...[snip]
Where does Hillary go from here? I think it’s all downhill.
“Where does Hillary go from here? I think it’s all downhill.”
Over the cliff with you, Grandma!
Remember the scathing Leftist commercials against Paul Ryan during the last election?
Granted, RINO Ryan has proven to be MORE trouble to us now than if he HAD been elected VP under Willard, but still...
Hillary’s Rollin’! Stay out of her way! :)
Excellent analysis. Trump has to keep listening to KellyAnne. She is terrific.
Ha, the Slimes would burn their newsprint warehouse before they’d print that. A Trump win would be in the Metro Section under “Other Local Races”.
Please, make it prison walls.
What do we expect. She is a criminal and a liar!
LOL Be still my heart. And they nay sayers saying it would never happen. When it does, we will truly have seen a miracle!
You are SUCH the Sunny Optimist when it comes to Trump!
And I hope against hope, in my old, gray, battered, Conservatarian cynical heart, that you are right! :)
Hopefully, after Trump wins, Hillary’s walls will be 8x8 with bars on the door.
Let’s not get too confident, folks.
Remember—the Supreme Court was supposed to kill Obamacare.
PING!
My greatest hope:
1. She loses
2. She DIES in prison
3. Somehow we also get CHELSEA on something
Goodbye old hag.
Remember—the Supreme Court was supposed to kill Obamacare.
Agree 100%. Let's not start doing our touchdown dance when we're still on the 30 yard line.
Soon you will be hearing the words president-elect Trump until you are sick of it!
I think she will go to Marcy Park for some personal life reflections.
The sooner the better.
Your campaign is waiting for Monday night for the old Hag can show the world how she knows policy, the second under secretary of Hungary, the handling of classified documents. That’s their strategy. Old Hag shines and Trump slabs himself on stage.
However what happens if the eyes er stars don’t line up for Old Hag and Trump is stately, calm and drives her over the edge? What is their plan? Her campaign staff has not performed at all. They don’t know what to do.
Tuesday morning and for45 days we will wait up to what will Old Hag do to turn the race around. What a great sound in the morning.
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