Posted on 09/26/2014 10:12:06 PM PDT by right-wing agnostic
The battle for Senate control has been close all year, but also remarkably consistent. Way back in March, we described Republicans as slight favorites to pick up the chamber. And since FiveThirtyEight officially launched its forecast model this month, Republicans have had between a 53 and a 65 percent chance of winning the Senate. Our most recent update, as of Thursday evening, is close to the middle of that range, putting Republicans’ takeover chances at about 58 percent.
SENATEUPDATE There’s no guarantee things will remain this way. At just about this time two years ago, Democrats broke open what had been a stalemate in the battle for Senate control. The FiveThirtyEight forecast had the race almost even at the beginning of September 2012, but had Democrats as an 80 percent favorite by the end of that month.
This year, however, has been characterized by what Charlie Cook calls “head fakes.” Just 10 days ago, Democrats had been benefiting from a string of good polls in Colorado. Since then, the Democratic incumbent in Colorado, Sen. Mark Udall, has seen his situation worsen, with the past five polls showing a lead for Republican Cory Gardner instead.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
Hey Silver, Udall has been defined as bad for CO and no amount of “War on Women” ads are going to change it. Say goodbye.
ping
Thanks for the post, r-w a.
You’re right. Hickenlooper and Udall are toast.
He, Silver, has a great rep predicting but if you look closely at the polls he uses there are a few which have taken twice. In each case those polls have the identical winner. The point being that no polls favoring the dem have been taken recently. I’d love to see some Udall polls switch over to put some more legitimacy into the trend.
Hopefully, Udall will take Chickenpooper with him.
It’s looking like the gun ban was not a good plan.
Colorado Ping ( Let me know if you wish to be added or removed from the list.)
Hopefully, Udall will take Chickenpooper with him.
It’s looking like the gun ban was not a good plan.
The beheading of the poor woman in Oklahoma and the Muslim Terrorist being shot and stopped from further carnage before the police arrived is going to help.
And real Coloradans may be sick of the legal pot circus.
Pot was legalized by ballot initiative, not the state nuthouse.
I’m trying not to get too excited yet.
They have several October surprises ?
Have a nice weekend, George!
Have a nice weekend, too
Even so. A bunch of addicts went out to vote for it. Big deal. Now it is pouring money into the state so everyone may get selfish.
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