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PREDICTIONS THREAD! Lock in your predictions for tomorrow! [Vanity]

Posted on 11/05/2012 5:45:49 AM PST by kevkrom

Okay... election day is tomorrow, and it's time for all us to make final predictions on the record... you know, for bragging rights.

This is specifically for the Presidential race, but if you want to lock in overall and/or specific Senate and House races for "bonus points", by all means go ahead!


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: obama; predictions; romney
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To: kevkrom

Romney 51.4%

Romney 296-242.

Dems hold senate with 51. Republicans lose two seats in the house.


51 posted on 11/05/2012 6:06:40 AM PST by Iron Eagle
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To: liberlog

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NsLykJ17Oxc


52 posted on 11/05/2012 6:06:54 AM PST by Blue Turtle
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To: kevkrom

North Carolina will tell us all the tale on election night.

Polls close at 7:30PM EST, and if they call it before 8:30PM, with Romney up +5 or better, despite the huge Get-Out-The-Fraud Dem efforts in NC, a National Landslide is in Progress....


53 posted on 11/05/2012 6:07:03 AM PST by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: kevkrom
As much as I would love to see a Reagan/Carter type blowout I think there are just too many people on the government dole for that to happen in 2012.

Popular Vote - Romney Wins 52%Romney 47%Obama 1% Other. Electoral College - Romney wins Narrowly on election night with a couple states too close to call (his margin may expand after those are sorted out) 278 on election night, 290 when all is said and done. The big story will be that after all the money and time poured into Ohio, Romney wins another large state Penn, Mich, Wisc. That makes the results in Ohio largely irrelevant regardless of which way they go (Ohio will be too close to call on election night but nobody will care).

House - (+/-2) Republican win a couple seat or lose a couple seats. Either way Pelosi is quitely but firmly shown the door by the democrat caucus. House race is considered a devastating loss for democrats.

Senate - Because of Romney coatails Republican win a couple more seats than they appear to be winning today, end up with a slim 50/50 or 51/49 majority.

54 posted on 11/05/2012 6:07:52 AM PST by apillar
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To: Perdogg
Romney 296 (This assumes R loses PA and NV and wins ME-CD2) Obama 242
Popular Vote

Romney 50.5
Obama 48.0
Other 1.5

Dangit, Perdogg... that is MY prediction exactly!

Except, I think

Romney will get 51%,
Obama will be 47.5%.

I also predict

+3 House seats for Republicans, and
50/50 in the Senate.

I WISH the news were better in the Senate... Could be, if Romney actually pulls a percent or two more... but, that's pretty hard to see right now.

Actually though, I have RR winning Nev, Wisc, Ohio and ME-1..... that also gets 296 for Romney.

55 posted on 11/05/2012 6:08:03 AM PST by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them)
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To: kevkrom

I predict a Romney win at 300EV’s. Does anyone have any thoughts on Larry Sabato? He’s predicting an Obama win.


56 posted on 11/05/2012 6:08:40 AM PST by albie
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To: kevkrom

Romney 52% with 295 EV

Nobama 47% with 243 EV


57 posted on 11/05/2012 6:08:54 AM PST by zwerni (this isn't gonna be good for business)
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To: kevkrom

Romney, but closer than we think (or would like).

R - 280s
O - 260s

Wish I was more confident but the up tick from Sandy, even though its really a disaster of Katrina proportions for Obama, has me concerned.


58 posted on 11/05/2012 6:09:16 AM PST by CPONuke
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To: Perdogg

I’m with Perdogg, although I think O eeks out another 1/2 of a percent.

Romney 50.5
Obama 48.8
Other 1.0

As for EV? I’m thinking more around 288 for Romney.


59 posted on 11/05/2012 6:09:35 AM PST by Paradox (I want Obama defeated. Period.)
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To: IsaacDian

Closer to the truth than I would like.


60 posted on 11/05/2012 6:09:43 AM PST by CPONuke
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To: kevkrom
I made these predictions to friends a couple of days ago but will stick with them.

My prediction would be a Romney win, 52%-47%; with 1% outside of Romney and Obama going to misc. candidates etc. Romney about 310 electoral votes.(270 needed to get elected) ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ In the Senate race- The recent poll underdog , liberal Scott Brown and the ultra liberal Elizabeth Warren, end up in a recount in that election. Socialists always recount better than dumb Republicans so Warren will win it.

61 posted on 11/05/2012 6:09:43 AM PST by Capt. Tom
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To: Quick Shot

“Obama is not a good lawyer and would not have a clue what to do.”

I don’t think that matters. Frankly, I don’t think he cares whether or not he wins. But I believe that his puppeteers care a lot, and won’t relinquish the power. Axelrod, Jarrett, Holder, Muslim Brotherhood... they’re the ones to look out for and they definitely have a clue what to do.


62 posted on 11/05/2012 6:10:25 AM PST by MayflowerMadam
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To: barmag25
Romney- 348 Obama-190 Senate R-53 D-47 House R-252 D-183 Election Surprise- Akin, Brown, & Mandel all win.

I would add R +7%

Would those numbers be big enough for Big Lying Media to respect and acknowledge a MANDATE?

Somehow I doubt it.
63 posted on 11/05/2012 6:11:45 AM PST by treetopsandroofs (Had FDR been GOP, there would have been no World Wars, just "The Great War" and "Roosevelt's Wars".)
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To: Freestate316

They’re already asking if R can pull off a “come-from-behind” win.

FU Hussein Heads!


64 posted on 11/05/2012 6:13:28 AM PST by treetopsandroofs (Had FDR been GOP, there would have been no World Wars, just "The Great War" and "Roosevelt's Wars".)
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To: Thane_Banquo

“If Pennsylviania is called for Romney, we can all go to bed early.”

I won’t go to bed early - I will make a fresh bowl of popcorn and tune into ABCCBSNBCMSNBCCNN for some real entertainment...


65 posted on 11/05/2012 6:14:10 AM PST by zwerni (this isn't gonna be good for business)
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To: Paradox

Indianapolis Star:
Only 11.2 percent of registered voters in metropolitan Indianapolis have cast early ballots so far this year, as of Saturday. That is down from the 14.4 percent who did so in the presidential election in 2008.

Inner-City early voting is WAY down from 2008. Even in Chicagoland/Northwest Indiana.

I don’t want to extrapolate, but this could have HUGE impact across the country.


66 posted on 11/05/2012 6:15:04 AM PST by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: CaptainK

I think many here at FR will desire to comment and not having to wait an hour for it to be posted, takes all the impact away from your spirit.

A dozen election threads max, none lasting longer than two hours or when they reach a post amount, no multiple comments, if your comment won’t go through it won’t go through period, one chance, no second chance.

Oh and spelling mistakes should be allowed and never commented, consider it breaking wind at the operam everyone knows when it happens, why stop the opera to talk about it?


67 posted on 11/05/2012 6:15:51 AM PST by Eye of Unk (President Romney, get used to it.)
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To: kevkrom

Romney by 4


68 posted on 11/05/2012 6:16:03 AM PST by jersey117
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To: kevkrom
I'm not "predicting" it'll happen, but I cannot get past the gnawing concern that the Left is going to steal this thing out from under us. With the media openly complicit and covering up even out-and-out treason, I just cannot believe they will "allow" a defeat, not when they're this close to their dream of a EuroSoviet America. I'm torn between wanting to be glued to every moment of the returns, and wanted to completely tune out until Wednesday. Very high anxiety levels here.
69 posted on 11/05/2012 6:17:28 AM PST by workerbee (The President of the United States is DOMESTIC ENEMY #1)
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To: kevkrom

Purely wishful thinking, but not laced with quite as much Romney kool-aid as most on here:

Romney 286, Bonzo 252. No prediction on popular vote since it’s irrelelvant anyway.

Of the swing states, Mitt gets:

Colorado
Florida
1 ev from Maine
Minnesota (sure...)
North Carolina
Ohio
Virginia

Bonzo gets:

Iowa
Michigan
New Hampshire
Nevada
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Wisconin

I’ll go out on a limb with the other happy-pill addicts and say we pick up a net 4 in the Senate. But I do not include the 2 swing state Senate races from states I’m giving to Mitt (OH,VA): Mandel has just been way too slimed by Brown to pull this one out unless a miracle occurs, same with Allen (by Kaine) in VA.

We may pick up a few seats in the House despite bloodbaths in California and Illinois and failure to capitalize on redistricting in our big states (Texas, Florida, Ohio).

Perhaps there wasn’t much we could do to gain more seats in those states, but what was even worse was those gutless little RINO pukes in the FL legislature taking great pains to try to do away with the most conservative R’s (West, Adams) in the delegation, while shoring up the district of a highly-damaged R who is going down in flames (Rivera) and making the new seats Rat-leaning (Grayson, Frankel).

I think West pulls it out, but Adams is already gone thanks to losing the primary to an old-bull semi-conservative.


70 posted on 11/05/2012 6:17:46 AM PST by PermaRag (If Trayvon had a father, he'd look just like Obama)
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To: treetopsandroofs

Jack Welch said exactly what I think, either a squeaker for Obama or a big win for Romney, maybe a big silent wave of people who womt declare for Romney.

I dont know but am so fearful, really fearful.


71 posted on 11/05/2012 6:18:59 AM PST by cajungirl
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To: pgkdan

I think Big Media has already been instructed on which words NOT to use tomorrow night under any circumstances if the messiah loses.... “landslide”, “mandate”, “victory”, “optimism”.

I’m also thinking that a puny, petty “concession” speech has already been written FOR Hussein, but that he won’t be allowed to see it before he has to excrete it.

Can Big Media deliver the news tomorrow without calling a major proportion of Americans racist?


72 posted on 11/05/2012 6:20:11 AM PST by treetopsandroofs (Had FDR been GOP, there would have been no World Wars, just "The Great War" and "Roosevelt's Wars".)
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To: SilvieWaldorfMD

Chris Plante has just predicted Romney will win, in 2008 he predicted a Obama win.


73 posted on 11/05/2012 6:22:10 AM PST by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Mikey_1962
Counties to watch: Bucks County PA; Wood County OH; Hamilton County OH; Tuscarawas County OH

I like your bellwether pics. :) I'm watching Defiance and Wood Counties, as I'm right in-between them, in Putnam. If Romney is above 60% in Defiance and above 52% in Wood, he is likely to win. I'm also watching Warren and Delaware, important "exurban" counties. If Romney wins Warren by 72% or better, and Delaware at 66% or better, he's going to have a big night.

74 posted on 11/05/2012 6:22:41 AM PST by TonyInOhio (O-H-I-O, Barry - misspell our name and we kick you out!)
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To: sharkshooting

That is my map exactly.

Still would be nice if he picked up PA and NV...and MI... and MN... and OR...


75 posted on 11/05/2012 6:23:05 AM PST by zwerni (this isn't gonna be good for business)
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To: treetopsandroofs
Can Big Media deliver the news tomorrow without calling a major proportion of Americans racist?

No! They'll call us racist, small minded, selfish and greedy. The new Peter Jennings will claim that the voters threw a temper tantrum. I don't care what they say because a Romney win will also be a repudiation of the whored up msm too!

76 posted on 11/05/2012 6:23:17 AM PST by pgkdan (A vote for anyone but Romney is a vote for obama. GO MITT!!)
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To: kevkrom

New Hempshire goes to the Libertarian party, tipping scale in Obama’s favor. Market certainty of a socialist future ironically shoots up the stock market. Bernanke accelerates Fed asset purchases and dollar pump priming. The Catholic church is forced to distribute contraceptives to children. Big bird advocates for a King and Queen of the United States, and Obama agrees. The Obamas change The United States to the to The Neighborhood of Make-Believe. Obama changes his name to King Friday and hands out doobies to the children. Michelle changes her name to Queen Saturday and advocates eating veggies after we all smoke our blunts. Biden changes his name to Mr Green Jeans and wears clothes made of money. Bert and Earnie finally get married and encourage the children of the Kingdom to have safe sex, even with the library police - a new division of the IRS.


77 posted on 11/05/2012 6:23:32 AM PST by ExxonPatrolUs ("Trizzle, trazzle, trozzle, trome, time for this one to come home" - Mr Wizard)
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To: kevkrom

Romney win 51% to 47% with over 300 electoral votes.

Republican control of the Senate by one vote. High probability that we will have another “Jumpin’ Jim Jeffers” moment in the next two years.

House remains in Republican control. Gain of between 3 to 6 seats.

News will be how many normally blue states went red. In the list of possible surprises: New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Oregon, Maine, Connecticut, and New Hampshire.

There will be much talk about how the pollsters got it so wrong with much of the blame on Hurricane Sandy, even though the areas most affected still went with Obama.

In the next two years we will have an epidemic of Democrat politicians retiring.

The most important, not talked about outcome will be the number of state legislatures that went Republican.


78 posted on 11/05/2012 6:24:08 AM PST by Crusher138 ("Then conquer we must, for our cause it is just")
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To: kevkrom

New Hempshire goes to the Libertarian party, tipping scale in Obama’s favor. Market certainty of a socialist future ironically shoots up the stock market. Bernanke accelerates Fed asset purchases and dollar pump priming. The Catholic church is forced to distribute contraceptives to children. Big bird advocates for a King and Queen of the United States, and Obama agrees. The Obamas change The United States to the to The Neighborhood of Make-Believe. Obama changes his name to King Friday and hands out doobies to the children. Michelle changes her name to Queen Saturday and advocates eating veggies after we all smoke our blunts. Biden changes his name to Mr Green Jeans and wears clothes made of money. Bert and Earnie finally get married and encourage the children of the Kingdom to have safe sex, even with the library police - a new division of the IRS.


79 posted on 11/05/2012 6:24:23 AM PST by ExxonPatrolUs ("Trizzle, trazzle, trozzle, trome, time for this one to come home" - Mr Wizard)
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To: kevkrom

Romney 359 EV / “0” 179 EV. Too many liberal rags endorsing Romney now, it’s moving towards 1980 proportions


80 posted on 11/05/2012 6:24:39 AM PST by Clay+Iron_Times (Vote for Love of God, Country)
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To: albie
Does anyone have any thoughts on Larry Sabato?

Lots. None that I can post here. He's got his head up obama's arse and is not an expert! He's a propagandist.

81 posted on 11/05/2012 6:25:19 AM PST by pgkdan (A vote for anyone but Romney is a vote for obama. GO MITT!!)
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To: tcrlaf
Polls close at 7:30PM EST, and if they call it before 8:30PM, with Romney up +5 or better

The MSM will keep FL/VA/NC "too close to call" until at least 11:00 EST in order to depress turnout in WI, IA, CO, and NV. In fact, they will not declare a winner until sometime on Wednesday.

82 posted on 11/05/2012 6:27:13 AM PST by TonyInOhio (Remember: THE EXIT POLLS ARE WRONG!)
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To: liberlog

54% RR / 45% 0bummer. I’ve been predicting a full 55% / 45% since mid-August, but I should back down the RR number due to the 1% weirdo vote. I predict that an early call by the networks on PA for RR will suppress voter turnout on the Left Coast for 0bummmer, helping run up the RR margin.

About 330 Electoral Votes for RR.

RR win PA, OH, FL, NC, VA, CO, WI, NH

Obummer wins MI, MN.

I believe presidential elections hinge on one question which is devastating for 0bummer:

“Do I want four more years of this?”

The answer is a resounding “NO!” America sucks under 0bummer, and everyone knows it. I think the vote is going to be a complete blowout.

Republicans take the U.S. Senate with 51 votes. House stays reliably Republican, with maybe a pickup of 3.

Washington State hires a Republican Governor, and approves Gay Marriage (a first in the nation), at the same time!


83 posted on 11/05/2012 6:28:15 AM PST by Uncle Miltie (0BAMA CHOSE to watch a MUSLIM SNUFF FILM rather than a HEROIC AMERICAN RESCUE FILM)
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To: tcrlaf
I live in NE PA and on Saturday morning I take a class at Lehigh Carbon Community College Allentown Campus. The Campus is right in the middle of Allentown which is the 3rd largest city in PA.

I did not see 1 single campaign sign in the whole city. Not one. In Whitehall Twp, the burbs north of allenntown lots of Romney/Ryan signs.

Take this for what it's worth. The Morning Call, Allentowns newspaper is in the tank for Obama as one would expect but I don't see much support in the ranks.

84 posted on 11/05/2012 6:29:26 AM PST by fatboy (This protestant will have no part in the ecumenical movement)
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To: TonyInOhio; LS; Ravi
Also, for a national bellwether, watch Vigo County, Indiana. Vigo has voted with the winner for many moons, and the percentage of the vote in that county closely tracks with the national popular vote - it's a nearly perfect national bellwether.

Thanks for the tip, LS and Ravi!

85 posted on 11/05/2012 6:30:51 AM PST by TonyInOhio (Remember: THE EXIT POLLS ARE WRONG!)
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To: liberlog

I have it 331 EV’s for Romney, 207 for Obama.

House picks up three, senate four.


86 posted on 11/05/2012 6:31:23 AM PST by wayoverontheright
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To: kevkrom

Obama wins a close one due to voter fraud making the difference.


87 posted on 11/05/2012 6:31:29 AM PST by 38special (I've been banned from commenting on Bill O'Reilly's Facebook feed...seriously)
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To: kevkrom
had a strange dream with this scenario- Mitt Romney has a comfortable lead in the Popular Vote totals 51% with a larger than expected third party total taking 2% leaving 47% for the current President. No real surprises or upsets have occurred, Swing states break down R- CO, WI, VA, FL, WI. O- NV, NH, others.. (Link, should open in a new tab)

Leaving us at Romney- 267, Current President- 253.
Ohio will be a nightmare. there will be whispers of voting fraud, but the real problem is just that the vote is so tight. The state will go into recounts and have heated legal arguments about the last minute directives on provisional ballots and which should be counted and which should not. It will stretch over a 10 days before we have an answer. The nation gets more and more bifurcated as the recount stretches on. When it looks like the current president has barely won the state, Romney will concede in a presidential yet foolish attempt to re-unite the country. Things get strange and angry.
88 posted on 11/05/2012 6:33:41 AM PST by HenryArmitage (it was not meant that we should voyage far.)
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To: kevkrom

Of the Swing states, Mitt gets FL, NC, IA, VA, OH, CO, Maine(1), PA, WI

with 312 Romney
to 226 Obama.


89 posted on 11/05/2012 6:33:41 AM PST by CaraM (Faithless is he who quits when the road darkens.)
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To: Eye of Unk

If people think about what they’re doing, the problems can be significantly reduced.

If you post and your post doesn’t show up right away, DO NOT keep hitting the “Post” button. That causes multiple posts.

If you post, always check the “I have already previewed...” box, and don’t worry about previewing.

If you haven’t already done so, reduce your posts-per-page setting to 20.

Resist the temptation to continually refresh the page you’re viewing to see new posts. Chill out and wait a bit, let other users have a chance.

Resist the temptation to post useless, information-free comments, or comments that essentially repeat what others have said.


90 posted on 11/05/2012 6:33:42 AM PST by Fresh Wind (If Obama is an empty chair, then Biden is the whoopee cushion.)
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To: kevkrom

53/46 popular vote, 315-223 electroral.


91 posted on 11/05/2012 6:35:29 AM PST by Sloth (Rather than a lesser Evil, I voted for Goode.)
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To: Lazamataz

“I’m going to go with Barone’s prediction, down to the state and the EV.”

I’m going with Barone too. When I read Barone’s predictions state-by-state (for the swing states), I thought they made sense. Barone predicts Romney 315, Obama 223. Interestingly, Barone gave Pennsylvania to Romney, but with more reservation than for the other swing states. Fortunately, even without PA, Romney would still win with 295 electoral votes.


92 posted on 11/05/2012 6:36:34 AM PST by Texan Tory
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To: kevkrom
Romney wins. GOP retains the House. We get 1-2 in the Senate, but the elections are close enough that we don't have a final tally until damn near Christmas...

Economy still crashes next year regardless.

93 posted on 11/05/2012 6:37:02 AM PST by Dead Corpse (I will not comply.)
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To: Fresh Wind

Also, resist the temptation to continually repost noise from Twitter. If someone is interested, they are free to go there on their own.


94 posted on 11/05/2012 6:38:01 AM PST by Fresh Wind (If Obama is an empty chair, then Biden is the whoopee cushion.)
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To: Dead Corpse
One more Prediction...

FR crashes by lunch time.

95 posted on 11/05/2012 6:38:07 AM PST by Dead Corpse (I will not comply.)
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To: kevkrom

Yes exactly. Obama looks desperate. The crowds at rallies tell the tale too. There is absolute no Obama mania at all...like the last time. And even with that he didn’t beat McCain by very much.


96 posted on 11/05/2012 6:38:19 AM PST by PaulZe
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To: kevkrom

My call: Romney by 3%, Romney takes PA.


97 posted on 11/05/2012 6:38:46 AM PST by PapaBear3625 (political correctness is communist thought control, disguised as good manners)
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To: kevkrom

98 posted on 11/05/2012 6:41:21 AM PST by HannibalHamlinJr
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To: kevkrom

Romney wins the popular vote 53% and EV in the range of 425-458.


99 posted on 11/05/2012 6:41:50 AM PST by Shery (in APO Land)
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To: kevkrom

I am somewhere between 98.45612457382% and 98.568953421% that the result will be:

Romney 51.5, Obama 47.5, other 1%.


100 posted on 11/05/2012 6:43:28 AM PST by Raycpa
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