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New study: Clinton could have won presidency if burden of war was lower in key states
The Kansas City Star ^ | July 18, 2017 | Max Londberg

Posted on 07/19/2017 1:43:45 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Higher war casualties in key swing states may have swung November’s presidential election away from Hillary Clinton, a new study suggests.

The study, published last month, found a relationship between states with high numbers of war casualties and an increase in Republican support in the 2016 presidential election.

Boston University political science professor Douglas Kriner and University of Minnesota law professor Francis Shen authored the study and wrote, “Trump’s ability to connect with voters in communities exhausted by more than fifteen years of war may have been critically important to his narrow electoral victory.”

Three swing states — Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan — all went to Trump by thin margins. They also all had a median number of casualties statewide, with about 25 casualties per million residents.

The authors wrote their findings reveal that had the casualty rate been slightly lower in those three key states — say, closer to the rate in neighboring New York, with about 15 deaths per million — the states would have flipped and instead gone to Clinton, which would have given her the White House.....

(Excerpt) Read more at kansascity.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Military/Veterans; Politics
KEYWORDS:
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This has to be the craziest stuff ever.
1 posted on 07/19/2017 1:43:45 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Funny thing, Hillary and the Dems kept beating the drum for war against Russia throughout last year.
And then when she lost, gasp and zounds, it had to be the Russians.
Just an observation.


2 posted on 07/19/2017 1:51:00 AM PDT by Darksheare (Those who support liberal "Republicans" summarily support every action by same.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

MORE left propaganda baloney


3 posted on 07/19/2017 1:51:17 AM PDT by mason-dixon (As Mason said to Dixon, you have to draw the line somewhere.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

At this point what difference does it make anyway?


4 posted on 07/19/2017 1:56:18 AM PDT by blackdog
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If she could she would kill dead soldiers all over again.


5 posted on 07/19/2017 1:58:05 AM PDT by blackdog
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

They simply cannot accept that she lost because she is a turd.


6 posted on 07/19/2017 1:58:20 AM PDT by punchamullah
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

7 posted on 07/19/2017 1:59:47 AM PDT by Bobalu ( Healthcare - someone must pay. Who should it be, and how did they get that obligation?)
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To: blackdog

Yep. She’s on the ash heap of history.


8 posted on 07/19/2017 2:00:04 AM PDT by cynwoody
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Could have won the election if....”
Sheesh, and about a million other “ifs”.
This is nuts to assume that this one issue is what the PIAPS lost on.


9 posted on 07/19/2017 2:02:53 AM PDT by lefty-lie-spy (Stay metal. For the Horde \m/("_")\m/ - via iPhone from Tokyo.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“New study: Clinton could have won presidency if burden of war was lower in key states”

My new study says that’s big bullshit!


10 posted on 07/19/2017 2:13:29 AM PDT by equaviator (There's nothing like the universe to bring you down to earth.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Hillary Clinton is everything that most people hate about politicians

She is a power seeker and has been all of her life.

She is corrupt to the Nth degree. She and her husband formed their ‘Charity’ to launder bribe money that they used to maintain their crime family until they could get back in to the White House.

Most Democrats could mentally block these unpleasant facts because of the many years of practice they have had of ignoring Clinton scandals but others finally succumbed to Clinton Fatigue and the truth a little truth made it over the MSM wall and infiltrated their conscious mind.

Trump offered a change to the business as usual political hack that us focus groups, political handlers and double speak to get elected.

Hillary’s playing hide and seek with the press didn’t help her as much as her handlers hoped either. Hillary demonstrated for history that in the age of the 24 hour a day news coverage that a presidential candidate can not have two campaign stops a month and hope to get elected.

11 posted on 07/19/2017 2:13:39 AM PDT by Pontiac (The welfare state must fail because it is contrary to human nature and diminishes the human spirit.L)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
This study sounds like a BS stinking pile.

That being said, one could also make the assumption "Hillary would have won if she went after states that were more Patriotic", but instead, she chose states like CA and MA, which are not patriotic and hate America. Then again, democrats stopped going after the patriotic vote at least 8 years ago.

12 posted on 07/19/2017 2:18:39 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Yes... And if the dog didn’t stop to take a crap he would have caught the rabbit...


13 posted on 07/19/2017 2:21:33 AM PDT by Man from Oz
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

She lost because she is not likeable.


14 posted on 07/19/2017 2:23:16 AM PDT by just me (God bless President Trump and the USA)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
This has to be the craziest stuff ever.

Yup, a bunch of BS from the apoplectic left that still can't deal with the reality that HRC lost the election.

15 posted on 07/19/2017 2:28:55 AM PDT by rochester_veteran (All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This does not make my list. 1. There is no indication that the authors are Hillary surrogates. 2. The study is fatally flawed, but the error appears to be innocent or narrowly political (anti-war, rather than anti-Trump), rather than Trump-bashing. In fact, since supporting our military is a good surrogate for supporting America’s Constitution and America’s borders, the military deaths are really a measure of regional support for Trump’s campaign promises - a lurking variable. As much as I would enjoy adding this excuse to the mix, I don’t think it meets the criteria, so the old list stands:

Wikileaks elected Trump.

Twitter memes elected Trump.

Astrological influences elected Trump.

Blatant sexism and unconscious sexism elected Trump.

People voting against Hillary because Obama is black elected Trump.

Traditionalist attitudes toward women elected Trump.

White voters afraid of losing White Privilege elected Trump.

Democrats doing a poor job of controlling the narrative elected Trump.

A thousand Russian agents working every day elected Trump.

Content farms in Macedonia elected Trump.

The TV networks keeping Hillary off the air elected Trump.

The vast right-wing conspiracy elected Trump.

Infowars elected Trump.

Google elected Trump.

Governor Scott Walker elected Trump.

Steve Bannon elected Trump.

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker elected Trump.

Nate Silver elected Trump.

Citizens United elected Trump.

The DNC being a mess and in poor shape elected Trump.

Bad polling numbers elected Trump.

Obama winning two terms elected Trump.

People wanting change elected Trump.

The New York Times, cable news, and television executives elected Trump.

According to Hillary, “Eight of the top 10 political documentaries on Netflix were screeds against President Obama and me” - Netflix elected Trump.

Democrats not making the right documentaries elected Trump.

The Democrat Party and the Republican Party elected Trump.

Concerns that Hillary Clinton was involved with a child sex trafficking operation elected Trump.

Concern about Hillary Clinton being a lizard elected Trump.

High expectations that Hillary would win elected Trump.

Voter suppression elected Trump.

FBI Director Comey announcing a criminal investigation into Hillary’s felonies just over a week before the election, when he had little reason to think there was anything there, elected Trump.

The Russians ransacking Hillary’s computer files and strategically leaking the truth elected Trump.

Misogyny elected Trump.

Gary Johnson and Jill Stein voters elected Trump.

Advocacy press on the right elected Trump.

Facebook elected Trump.

Old, out-of-touch democrats with a flawed message that alienated young voters elected Trump.

White nationalists elected Trump.

Hatred of Hillary Clinton at the FBI (how could anyone hate a lovable woman like Hillary?) elected Trump.

FBI investigation elected Trump.

Email scandal elected Trump.

Black voters not liking Hillary elected Trump.

Fewer than 100,000 deplorable voters spread across a handful of states elected Trump.

People hating Hillary because she is so professional, so polished, such a wonderful lawyer, so brilliant, so good, so righteous, and so much better than us elected Trump.

The lack of energy among Hillary supporters and expectations of Hillary being the inevitable winner, because it was her turn, elected Trump.

Robby Mook selecting the wrong travel stops for Hillary and spending heavily in the wrong states elected Trump.

Hillary’s campaign team failing to hone her message and get voters to the polls elected Trump.

Bill Clinton’s appearance of an inappropriate meeting with Attorney General Loretta Lynch elected Trump.

The ugly stew of racism elected Trump.

Hillary’s alleged lack of likability and claimed lack of trustworthiness elected Trump.

Self-hating women elected Trump.

Evangelical, Catholic, anti-marriage equality, and anti-choice social conservatives elected Trump.

Sinister outside forces elected Trump.

Whitelash elected Trump.

Democrat policies that favor the rich elected Trump.

Failure to talk to working-class white voters elected Trump.

Men elected Trump.

Lower-level FBI agents pressuring their Director (because that’s how professional relationships work) elected Trump.

Tim Kaine gave Hillary Virginia, but he also elected Trump.

White women elected Trump.

Racists elected Trump.

Sexists elected Trump.

Rural voters elected Trump.

The working class voting against their own interests elected Trump.

Fake news elected Trump.

Supermarket tabloids elected Trump.

Celebrity (The Apprentice) elected Trump.

White male resentment elected Trump.

Over-shaming Trump supporters elected Trump.

Rejecting Bernie elected Trump.

Reagan democrats elected Trump.

Backlash against political correctness elected Trump.

There are many terrible reasons for President Trump’s victory, but there are two things that were not a factor. First, Hillary was the perfect candidate; nothing she did harmed her candidacy in any way. Second, President Trump was the worst candidate imaginable; nothing he did helped his candidacy at all, except with racists, sexists, bigots, and the rest of the basket of deplorables.


16 posted on 07/19/2017 2:29:35 AM PDT by Pollster1 ("Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Frankly Scarlett, I don’t give a damn, why or how she lost, the fact she did, makes us for just a few moments, and maybe they will be enough, the luckiest nation on the face of the earth.


17 posted on 07/19/2017 2:37:09 AM PDT by wita (Always and forever, under oath in defense of Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The left can’t accept that they are wrong, and that their world view is flawed. They always find blame elsewhere, not within themselves and their ideology. Just like the leftists that have destroyed Venezuela’s economy, leaving its citizens poor and starving.


18 posted on 07/19/2017 2:46:09 AM PDT by neverevergiveup
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To: Pollster1

I see the light! I am convinced your screen name is of biblical proportions.

I would add one more to the list: Best of luck elected Trump.


19 posted on 07/19/2017 2:48:26 AM PDT by wita (Always and forever, under oath in defense of Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“This new learning amazes me, Sir Bedevere. Explain again how sheep’s bladders may be employed to prevent earthquakes.”


20 posted on 07/19/2017 2:50:36 AM PDT by nickedknack ("Your time is up!")
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