Posted on 10/19/2016 1:20:14 PM PDT by GilGil
Someone will be voting for Bruce Merrill, he’s dead.
Awesome thanks!
One of the machines Soros owns is in Arizona, so this makes sense.
Most don’t look at internals and only see the topline. When they steal it they can say the polls were right.
I mean come on. D+34 only tells me they are in the process of stealing this thing.
http://www.azsos.gov/elections/voter-registration-historical-election-data
per that webpage Dems are 3rd place total of registered voters:
Registered Voters
Democratic 1,019,050
Green 5,512
Libertarian 26,653
Republican 1,185,023
Other 1,164,373
Total 3,400,611
So get out of here with your idiocy and take your sighs with you.
Yea, whatever idiot that came up with this as a legitimate poll!
No offense, but the concepts of weighting and averages shouldn’t be doubletalk to any semi-educated adult.
You could have Trump winning Calif. with that kind of mumbo jumbo.
That’s fine, but if you understand weighted vs unweighted you can at least see the the poll is not D+34. More democrats responded to the poll (+34 UNWEIGHTED), but the poll was Weighted +5 Republican, so roughly, each D response counted as 1/2 in the poll. The poll results were +34 D Clinton would be far ahead, not +5. And if they were faking their poll they wouldn’t show the +34 in the unweighted numbers.
And you think because they show how they weighed the poll that makes it legit with a ludicrous number like that?
You think that the Democrats are going to have a plus 17 vote on the GOP in Ariz. on election day?
OP is correct as it is weighted D +34%.
The first page of 52 pages see Table 1, of “likely voters” N = 713 where it is Hellary 39%, Trump 33.9%.
5.1% lead for Clinton.
Right below in Table 2 is the breakdown in parties D, R, and I of the percentages voting for which candidate.
The numbers in Table 2.
Dem = 413 or 57.92%
Rep = 168 or 23.56%
Ind = 132 or 18.51%
Total in Table 2, N = 713, which the the same (N)umber in Tab1e 1.
Source.
No, that’s not how the math works. Honest question, do you want to me to take the time to explain the math to you? If not, just trust me, the poll is R+5. If you do, I’m happy to explain weighting.
You claimed that it represented half of the +34 Democrat, which means it was really +17 Democrat.
So, go away and stop trying to peddle your idiotic nonsense.
Ignorance is bliss, right? You are confusing absolute numbers with percentages. I used to tutor kids, so I can probably help you understand, just ask.
Stop posting me your idiocy.
OK, so if you really think, despite not understanding the basic math, that this poll was D+34, what how much do you think Trump will win Arizona by? 20 points? 15 points? 10 points? If in a D+34 poll, he is barely losing, he must actually be ahead by double digits, right? Tell us what you think the real gap is?
The poll is nonsense and is mocked everytime it shows up on FR, which has been a couple of other times.
Math deals with the real world.
OK so you are a moron, and a coward. At least have the guts to back it up with a prediction... Should I pencil you in for Trump +20 in AZ? With that “+34D” polling, you should be pretty confident.
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