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ARG poll showing Clinton up 43/42 has internal numbers good for Trump and bad for her
The Coach's Team ^ | 7/22/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins

Posted on 07/22/2016 9:01:44 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax

The implosion of the NeverTrump movement that came with Ted Cruz’s public political suicide will have a very beneficial effect on Donald Trump’s campaign to win the Presidency.

Hillary Clinton was once leading Trump by as much as 12 points.

That has fizzled down to a virtual tie in poll after poll and there are clear reasons why.

When Hillary was courting Bernie Sanders for his backing she was in the news; and that led to a 7 point Rasmussen lead for Trump because of the “Morris rule.”

The “Dick Morris rule” says Hillary’s numbers go up when she is out of sight and down when she is before us. The “Rule” came into play when Hillary begged Sanders for support and gave Trump that lead. Then the Comey report crushed her, so the media allowed Hillary to go into hiding. That hunkering down lasted long enough to help her stay hidden right up to the Trump convention, thus the melting of Trump’s lead.

Trump will not allow her to stay hidden and next week’s freak show/Democrat convention will put her back on the national stage. That will lower her numbers.

A fixable problem for Trump is the significant core of Republicans that have been withholding their support from Trump. That can be fixed.

The Cruz speech that all but destroyed the NeverTrump movement and galvanized the Republican base, seems to have changed the mind of many of the holdouts that have been hesitating to back Trump.

In a new American Research Group (ARG) poll Trump is down one point to Clinton but just 77% of Republicans are supporting him. Moreover, 7% say they will vote for Clinton who has 85% of her Party’s support.

The room for growth of each candidate is not at all...

(Excerpt) Read more at thecoachsteam.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016polls; 2016rncconvention; donaldtrump; hillaryclinton; polling; trumpbump

1 posted on 07/22/2016 9:01:44 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax
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To: Oldpuppymax

I have a feeling Ted has a very dark side. I fear for his kids.


2 posted on 07/22/2016 9:04:21 AM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: Oldpuppymax

Independents 51-33 Trump.


3 posted on 07/22/2016 9:12:40 AM PDT by BigEdLB (Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
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To: Oldpuppymax

So Doble-Cruz helped Trump with his betrayal?


4 posted on 07/22/2016 9:14:22 AM PDT by MNDude (God is not a Republican, but Satan is certainly a Democrat.)
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To: Oldpuppymax

I don’t trust someone who wants power THAT MUCH. I love the narrative about Trump and the Oprah Winfrey interview from 1988 where he states that he would run if things got so bad.. And we are there.


5 posted on 07/22/2016 9:15:10 AM PDT by Hildy
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To: Oldpuppymax

Trump only has 77% of his base to 85% for Hitlary??? what the hell is wrong with them!!


6 posted on 07/22/2016 9:19:16 AM PDT by wyowolf (Be ware when the preachers take over the Republican party...)
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To: wyowolf

That is work itself out now that Cruz and Trump has given them reasons to come home. Hillary doesn’t have much room to grow; Trump does.


7 posted on 07/22/2016 9:25:32 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: wyowolf
Trump only has 77% of his base to 85% for Hitlary???

Not surprising to me. Trump has made a calculated risk that a move to the middle on social issues will garner him more votes from independents than he will lose from social conservatives.

So the reliable conservative GOP base has shrunk and it's too soon to know if this gambit works.

8 posted on 07/22/2016 9:30:44 AM PDT by randita
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To: Oldpuppymax

Isn’t it amazing she always has to be up one point in a poll? Or God forbid, tied.

Just so they never have to write the headline Trump Leads.


9 posted on 07/22/2016 10:10:14 AM PDT by Williams (If Trump is not the nominee ... The party's over.)
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To: wyowolf

What’s wrong with them? Ask Rush Limbaugh why his first call today was from a rabid Trump hating Cruz supporter.


10 posted on 07/22/2016 10:11:37 AM PDT by Williams (If Trump is not the nominee ... The party's over.)
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To: randita

On my facebook list, I have a lot of #nevertrumpers - they are too stupid to reason with.


11 posted on 07/22/2016 10:12:41 AM PDT by Darth Gill
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To: dp0622
Ted has proven to be a childish, petulant egomaniac who flt entitled and can't deal with reality.

All he managed to do was to alienate the rest of his supporters and set them solidly behind Trump. We haven't heard the last of his sour grapes because he's not smart enough or in control of himself enough to shut his lying pie hole...

12 posted on 07/22/2016 10:17:00 AM PDT by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: Darth Gill

There are always voters who will absolutely not compromise on one or more principles. Even if they agree with 99% of what a candidate stands for, if that remaining 1% is an issue they will not compromise on, that candidate won’t get their vote. There is no reasoning with them.


13 posted on 07/22/2016 10:34:52 AM PDT by randita
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To: trebb

” We haven’t heard the last of his sour grapes because he’s not smart enough or in control of himself enough to shut his lying pie hole... “

He’s smart enough ... the man is far from stupid.

You hit the nail on the head with your other criticism though ... he’s not in control of himself. He let his massive ego get the best of him.

A reasonable person would be sitting on the sidelines taking a long hard look at themselves to ascertain what went wrong. An irrational person does what Ted does ... they seem to think that everyone *but* them is stupid and double down on irrational.

Sometimes one of many is correct and they work hard to prove that ... that is not the case with Cruz. Cruz came off as a person that felt that they were ‘entitled’ to be President given his brains ... Trump worked hard to prove he was the best person for the job. Again, if Cruz had any humility, he’d have never done what he did this past week. He’s dead to me and millions of others that were fooled by his slimy tactics.

Trump wasn’t “perfect” in handling Cruz, but he sure as hell didn’t sink to Cruz’s level of mudslinging.


14 posted on 07/22/2016 10:34:56 AM PDT by edh (I need a better tagline)
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To: randita

Absolutely. Lots of those one-issue voters on this site.


15 posted on 07/22/2016 11:08:57 AM PDT by wildbill (If you check behind the shower curtain for a slasher, and find one.... what's your plan?)
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To: edh
He let his massive ego get the best of him.

Let's face it, when you think you are the Messiah chosen by God to rule the world, you don't take defeat well.

Cruz does not accept defeat. His posture toward Trump reflects the delusion that he can undermine Trump enough for a Clinton victory, then challenge Clinton in 2020.

16 posted on 07/22/2016 11:21:16 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Darth Gill

I am on the plane flying home from Cleveland. Most everyone on the plane was at the convention. There’s a guy behind me who won’t stop talking and all he can talk about is Ted Cruz. It’s like.a flipping cult. He’s so obnoxious I want to punch him, but I can’t. I’m on a plane. :)


17 posted on 07/22/2016 1:54:05 PM PDT by Hildy
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To: Hildy

I hope you accidentally tripped him as he was getting off of the plane. ;)


18 posted on 07/23/2016 8:07:59 PM PDT by Duchess47 ("One day I will leave this world and dream myself to Reality" Crazy Horse)
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