Posted on 10/02/2015 2:01:20 PM PDT by UncleRicosFootball
There’s misunderstanding about ‘early leaders’.
2007 was Giuliani versus Hillary. McCain had suspended his campaign by the time Iowa voted.
In 2011 it was rotating Republicans.
The point is that the inevitables aren’t inevitable.
I certainly don’t doubt Trump’s ability to get the nomination and then win the general if he doesn’t lose interest, but voters, not pollsters, will make the choice.
I was driving, but I think the stats were out of the last five elections, only two won the nomination who were not ahead, at this point in the election.
Gullani was never in the lead like Trump, nor the others. It was all media hype.
Yep.
Other candidates have had strong showings 18 or more months ahead, but those were just name recognition.
Nobody has had Trump’s numbers among multiple candidates this late. It’s only around six months until the nominee will almost certainly be known.
SO actual numbers are even more voters, which is good, because that reduces margin of error.
No one, in any presidential election, since WWII, not Eisenhower, not Reagan, Not LBJ, Not Nixon, all of who had landslide victories, were LEADING IN EVERY STATE, IN EVERY POLL, by near double digit margins.
This is very Unusual. It is the celebrity apprentice effect. I saw a poll where those Americans who watched celebrity apprentice show favor Trump 2:1 over those who never watched. And there are millions of those voters who have known Trump via the TV show, which ran for over a decade..
Gravis has Donald Trump leading at 37% nationally,... still worthless?
Absolutely. The MOE was +/- 1.9%
How in the world is Cruz a “professional politician” when he hasn’t even served one term? The strictest term limits wouldn’t even apply to him.
Cruz already stands up to the media, the president, the leaders in both parties and the press. Despite their criticism he hasn’t softened his rhetoric or his stands on the issues. Why would he have a hard time talking to “international business leaders?”
Was there a vote that missed by 1 vote when Cruz wasn’t there? It’s much more important for our representatives to get out into the world and make our case to the public than to be there for every inconsequential vote. We have enough Senators who no one’s ever heard of because they don’t ever go on TV to try to tell the public how our government is screwing us with their behind-the-scenes perspective.
Cruz’ political track record is that he got elected in a huge state going up against a candidate backed by the establishment. Then he made a name for himself and became one of the best-known senators by giving great speeches and facing the media. Success in business has nothing to do with being President. Obama’s been remarkably successful at institutionalizing radical leftism and dismantling America’s power. Success in politics means understanding how the government works, understanding the huge difference between right and left and knowing in every bone of your body which side you stand for. We’ll get nowhere with someone figuring it out as they go along who can be swayed one way or the other by a poll. We need someone who can sniff out a conservative judge just as well as Obama can sniff out a liberal one.
I think Rush may have mentioned similar stats...IIRC he said something along those lines...leader, at this point, statistically wins.
I’ll try to find it.
His voting record is public...
No matter first time what can he do that he has done successfully that a leader of this country needs
What has he done??
Please, seriously, I am not getting his skills and the job requirements match...
I’d be tickled crosseyed if I could know it’s true. I’m for Trump, warts and all. Although the past week or 10 days the warts have smoothed out quite a bit, and he will continue to accumulate supporters.
The rap on Gravis is that it’s a small hollow shell company operated by 3 guys. There’s no there there. I read that they have no phone or telemarketing facility; no nuttin. To sell a poll to a client, they check the polls of other outfits, plagiarize those numbers; make them better or worse, depending what they think the client wants; and collect money for it.
They made a ton of money in 2012 feeding the GOP phony numbers and convincing Rove, et al, that Romney was going to win.
I think Trump is, and will continue to be fine. But even if it involves positive numbers, I don’t like to have some jackwagon outfit blowing smoke up my transom.
He can reverse all of Obama’s liberal executive orders and policies including repealing Obamacare and appoint hard-right conservative judges.
I think the last time the leader this far out from Iowa won was Jimmy Carter.
Thanks Pajamajan! Ping a ling!
I thought I saw a headline on Drudge the other day that said Iowa and New Hampshire may not be the first to vote in 2020. Hopefully we’ll have a conservative president by then and we won’t have to worry about the nomination process.
OK and what else as he done in business to lead the economy....
In short Ted does not have the background we need now
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