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Why Donald Trump’s Polling Is Scaring The Hell Out of The Professional Political Class…
The Conservative Tree House ^ | 7-17-2015 | sundance

Posted on 07/18/2015 9:01:34 AM PDT by smoothsailing

July 17, 2015

Why Donald Trump’s Polling Is Scaring The Hell Out of The Professional Political Class…

by sundance

We’ve explained the underlying problem of why the GOP hates their own base – and why they will never do anything to stop the progressive agenda. The GOP are committed to #1) ObamaCare remaining; #2) Comprehensive Immigration Reform to include Amnesty; and #3) Common Core Education Standards. We’ve also explained why admitting that factual reality is just a matter of following the facts where they lead.

When you admit the problem, and finally agree to stop being a co-dependent in your own diminishment, you join a growing coalition of supporters for a candidate outside the professional political class, the establishment GOP.

Donald Trump presidential race

Here’s why the Donald Trump polling is creating such apoplectic fits amid the “establishment”; and it’s not just that Trump is now leading in every regional and national poll. It’s something more…

In almost every poll, Trump is winning the overall GOP race despite half of the poll sample not believing he is really serious about his presidential bid.

Pause for a moment and think carefully about what that means.

Example: If a polling sample is 1,000 people. Approximately 500 people don’t believe Trump is really in it to win it. Ergo he’s polling current victory numbers with only half the consideration available to all other candidates – AND YET HE’S STILL WINNING.

Long term – what do you think will happen when more and more people begin to accept that Donald Trump is actually sticking out this race to win the nomination?

As each week goes by that skeptical segment of the electorate will diminish – and more people begin to realize he’s in this race to become president. This shift in consideration only adds to the potential for Trump’s polling numbers to continue rising.

Conversely, all the other candidates already have achieved feasible consideration by 100% of the polling electorate. While their numbers may fluctuate based on their ongoing policy proposals, advocacy and/or stumbles amid the campaign trail, they begin their campaign with 100% of the audience paying attention to them as a factual candidate.

The professional political class is desperately trying to avoid facing this reality, and they are consistently downplaying Trump as a candidate, while emphasizing the portion of the polled electorate who don’t view Trump as sticking it out. They are, in essence, gaslighting the audience.

Trump’s growing poll numbers is a frightening reality especially for the Jeb Bush team, who desperately need –and have strategically planned for– a highly divided electorate.

Team Jeb are relying on having a dozen (or so) various special-interest factions of the voting base so their own small ‘professional political class’ coalition of around 15 to 20% can win the primary.

The absolute nightmare scenario amid the Establishment GOP is that a single candidate can unite a voting block that is larger than Jeb Bush. The Decepticons have worked diligently to insure this would not happen; even, as many suspect, funding candidates to enter and remain in the race (Marco Rubio).

Team Jeb want’s Scott Walker/Ted Cruz/Rick Perry/Marco Rubio/Bobby Jindal carving up small segments of a larger conservative base; while Chris Christie/Lindsey Graham/Mike Huckabee/George Pataki carve up another segment; and Rand Paul/Carly Fiorina/Ben Carson/John Kasich divide up yet another.

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton greets a supporter following her address at the 18th Annual David N. Dinkins Leadership and Public Policy Forum at Columbia University in New York April 29, 2015. (REUTERS/Brendan McDermid)

CURRENT FOX NEWS – NATIONAL POLLING

All of these little bits, allow Jeb’s 15 to 20% to be the biggest piece of a severely divided electoral pie. By design, the large field plays directly into the hands of the GOP establishment.

Everything was going according to plan, until Donald Trump walked into the scene, and now their best laid GOPe plans are shredded.

Now why do you think Fox News Poll added this little addendum to their recent polling presentation?

[…] The Fox poll also asks voters their second choice candidate, which allows us to look at what happens to the lineup if someone were to drop out.

For example, if Trump decides to get out, Bush moves to the top spot at 19 percent, followed by Walker at 16 percent, Paul at 9 percent, Rubio at 8 percent, Carson at 7 percent, Cruz at 6 percent, Huckabee at 5 percent, Christie and Perry at 3 percent, and Fiorina, Kasich and Santorum get 2 percent (link)

Oh, now that’s a convenient “for example” dontcha think?

Almost as if there’s some kind of agenda at work.

One wonders why they didn’t publish a scenario where Jeb Bush dropped out, and see where that leaves the remaining candidates?

Hmmm?…. Well, let me think on that for a minute…

Candidate Jeb Bush attends Chamber of Commerce dinner with Fox's Rupert Murdoch and Valerie Jarrett (December 2014)

Candidate Jeb Bush attends Chamber of Commerce dinner with Fox’s Rupert Murdoch and Valerie Jarrett (December 2014)

Dr_Phil_teen_youtube_beating

Nuf said?



TOPICS: Business/Economy; Education; Government; Politics
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To: smoothsailing

What would all the poor lobbyists do if Trump got elected? Poor SOBs.


21 posted on 07/18/2015 9:38:34 AM PDT by boycott
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To: DoodleDawg

Cain’s crash and burn was the womanizing thing, wasn’t it?

How is that to be equated to Trump?


22 posted on 07/18/2015 9:39:33 AM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: EQAndyBuzz

Trump through the years has belonged to both the democrat, republican and two other lesser parties
I’m predicting that he will be questioned about it at the debate.
His answer should be something like this
I’ve tried them all. They are all Corrupt. Controlled by lobbies and big money. So I am running as an American. And ask the people who are equally fed up with politic as usual to support and vote for me Lets make American great again together

You heard it first here! Lol


23 posted on 07/18/2015 9:41:08 AM PDT by hoosiermama (Obam5a: "Born in Kenya" Lying now or then or now?;)
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To: hoosiermama
I’ve tried them all. They are all Corrupt.

He might be the first President despised by both party establishments.


24 posted on 07/18/2015 9:47:08 AM PDT by 867V309 (Boehner is the new Pelosi)
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To: smoothsailing

Only conservatives have a reason to be scared of Trump


25 posted on 07/18/2015 9:47:32 AM PDT by GeronL
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To: MNDude

That’s roughly the RCP average of all polls.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html

It places him in the second tier, which is enough to make the debate cut.


26 posted on 07/18/2015 9:52:15 AM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing
The electorate is sick of the "political class." A solid Republican majority in the Senate has done NOTHING to stop the administration. We are sick of anything "politically correct", which translates into "incorrect by common sense, reality, or morality". We want people who put America before politics.

Also note that Trump has said enough right, that when he says something ill-advised, which he will, the press will not be able to skewer him.

27 posted on 07/18/2015 9:54:11 AM PDT by The Truth Will Make You Free
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To: smoothsailing

The Donald is every bit as committed to
conservatism as Arnold Swarzenegger.


28 posted on 07/18/2015 9:55:39 AM PDT by Sivad (NorCal red turf ;-))
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To: All

I’m not sure any of them but Jeb Bush is “in it to win it”. Most people who run for president do it to increase their speaking fees. They know they’re not going to win.


29 posted on 07/18/2015 9:55:55 AM PDT by VerySadAmerican (I'll vote for a democrat before I'll vote for a rino.)
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To: 867V309

But not by the American people


30 posted on 07/18/2015 9:58:42 AM PDT by hoosiermama (Obam5a: "Born in Kenya" Lying now or then or now?;)
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To: smoothsailing

Poles don’t mean crap.


31 posted on 07/18/2015 10:03:42 AM PDT by Busko (The only thing that is certain is that nothing is certain.)
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To: DoodleDawg
Trump has publicly stated recently that he is not interested in a vice president position on someone else's ticket, nor would he run as a third party candidate, acknowledging what Perot did to split the Republican vote and give the election to the democRATS.

People do change their minds but he seemed pretty emphatic that he would not do either of these things. He wants the top job and he wants to win.

32 posted on 07/18/2015 10:10:04 AM PDT by HotHunt
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To: Tucker39

I take it you mean the Reagan-Rockefeller Dinner. Here’s a youtube version, the sound isn’t great but you can understand what he’s saying.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=06QTKL2Hc_E


33 posted on 07/18/2015 10:14:48 AM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: hoosiermama

He probably leans Republican, but he knows as a businessman that dealing with everybody is the cost of doing business. From what I have heard, he has given to both parties about the same amount of money.


34 posted on 07/18/2015 10:14:48 AM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults)
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To: Tucker39
We’re talking a 1950s Brownie Hawkeye camera, and 2 pork ‘n beans cans and a string.

LOL! Someone at the youtube link remarked that it sounded like the microphone was in the punch bowl!

35 posted on 07/18/2015 10:17:32 AM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

Thank you.


36 posted on 07/18/2015 10:18:38 AM PDT by Tucker39 (Welcome to America! Now speak English; and keep to the right....In driving, in Faith, and politics.)
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To: smoothsailing
Trump is pretty much bullet-proof. He's got the resources to stay in the race as long as he wants. He is not reliant on donors and even if he had to fund his entire campaign out of his own pocket, it will barely dent his overall wealth.

Herman Cain dropped out because after his "bimbo" scandal, his fund-raising dried up and he realized he would not have the resources to carry on. Also, it appeared that Cain was in over his head as he was weak on some of the issues.

Trump fights back so ferociously that soon people are going to think twice before attacking him. So how exactly will he "crash and burn"?

If he wins the Iowa Caucus and NH primary, he'll be unstoppable. If he stays in and continues fighting, he's got an excellent shot as none of the other candidates (including Cruz) have done much to distinguish themselves.

37 posted on 07/18/2015 10:25:58 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: Busko
Poles don’t mean crap.

Say What?!

Famous Poles

38 posted on 07/18/2015 10:26:20 AM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: SamAdams76; DoodleDawg
I agree with you. Could your post have been meant for DoodleDawg?
39 posted on 07/18/2015 10:33:54 AM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: SaxxonWoods
.Where do the Trumpians go when it’s time to get serious? Who gets those voters?<<

Ted Cruz!!....he says the same things but much more elegant....He doesn't try to shock his way in....

40 posted on 07/18/2015 10:36:51 AM PDT by M-cubed ( Their hope is to find a way to pick a nominee who, if elected, would actually stay the course the w)
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