Posted on 10/17/2014 6:01:19 AM PDT by ken5050
Here's an absolutely fascinating, and actually, quite possible scenario, that could well play out on Election Day. Let's assume that the GOP flips FIVE Democrat seats, while holding onto Kentucky and Kansas (as seems more likely in recent days). Nobody hits 50% in Georgia and Louisiana, so we head to run-offs there, with control of the Senate at stake..Republicans needing to win one of them....EXCEPT that....
1.Amnesty declaration
2.Naming a new Attorney General
3.Announcing the new Obamacare premiums.
4.Instituting a travel ban from West Africa 6.Issuing a gazillion new EPA regulations
7.Results of the Bergdahl investigation
I've probably missed a few more...
So, what's the guy to do??
Push the agenda, and blow ANY chance of keeping control of the Senate?
Which would mean that he couldn't get ANYTHING passed the last two years of his administration,and would likely mean an all-out war with the Congress.
Or, lose BOTH run-offs, and ask 48 Democrat Senators to "take one for the team," and head off into the minority.
I can just see the headline in the WaPo:
SECRET SERVICE ARRESTS HARRY REID FOR PUNCHING OBAMA IN THE NOSE
Georgina? /facepalm
Please correct headline..it should be Georgia..thanks
I’m babysitting my neighbor’s 4 month old daughter for a few hours..trying to type while holding baby and bottle isn’t easy...
Ken, I realize the polls here in GA are close. I wonder how accurate they are, though. Republicans are motivated in this election, & Dems are not. To what degree are the polls measuring that? Every time someone says they support Perdue or Nunn, is the next question, ‘How likely are you to vote?’? With no Obama on the ballot, I’d be surprised if the Dem turnout is that impressive. Of course there’s always voter fraud. So we shall see.
PS: Harry Reid and the Democratic Senators are pretty pathetic IMHO. The best they can claim is that ruinous Obamacare. And we should tell them how we FEEL about it in November!
Joe Manchin will be the most popular guy in Washington.
I can’t believe Georgia is in play for two leftist candidates whose only claim to fame is their dad of granddad.
carter and Nunn
It is ridiculous.
How could the GOP only win 5 senate seats?
I thought this was supposed to be a wave election.
Ah, at least it wasn’t a Freudian slip (as in Georgina Dorsett)!
3-4 seats will be all the GOPe will win. They don’t want a majority. They are running on nothing.
Well now, them’s fight’n words.
A budget resolution is needed by Dec 11 and Obama will want to fund his Illegal alien amnesty and don't forget the billion or so he owes the insurance companies.
Sounds like the Dem districts need more people with Ebola.
I can almost promise you that Georgia is going to a runoff. The GOP nothing burger Perdue is running one of the worst campaigns I have ever seen. He will be lucky if he gets to a runoff. Thank God for the Libertarian who is peeling off enough votes to hopefully keep Nunn under 50%.
The sad thing is that Nunn is also a nothing burger so if we had put up a decent candidate Nunn should not even be close.
I wouldn’t count on Kentucky. Conservatives have really gotten the message out that McConnell is a dangerous creep, and a freshman Democrat would be a lot less harmful to the nation. If there is one seat worth ceding, it is his.
While there are no guarantees about the next senate majority leader, McConnell has already announced his intent to surrender to the Democrats, so maybe his replacement will be smart enough to not surrender before the battle has even begun.
How DARE McConnell surrender to the Democrats. He should be ashamed of himself.
In LA, the conservative vote is split and Landrieu is polling in the low 40’s. If conservatives unite behind one candidate, Landrieu should be toast. But never underestimate the Rat GOTV effort.
There is nothing more studied or labored-upon by pollsters than the turnout / likely-voter adjustments they make to the raw data. With a bit of noise, the adjustments get more accurate over time. You should assume that the polls are accurately measuring motivation, to the extent it impacts turnout, absent good reason to believe otherwise.
Also, as a general matter, the Republican turnout advantage in the South, especially in “low-motivation” situations, has been badly eroded by the Democrats GOTV operation: terrific technology and personnel, aided by a brace of voting options (absentee as of right, early voting, Sunday voting, etc.)
The polls have been notoriously inaccurate during the last several elections. No informed person assumes they are accurate now. We’ll find out on Nov. 5.
I agree. They could even lose seats. Their overall campaign appears poised to throw away another wave because it might put more Conservatives in power; the ones considered by much of the GOP to be their true enemy.
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