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U.S. Q3 Earnings Warning Ratio 2nd Worst Since 2001 (Declining Real Incomes And Participation)
Confounded Interest ^ | 09/30/2013 | Anthony B. Sanders

Posted on 09/30/2013 4:01:09 PM PDT by whitedog57

Ugh. Companies issuing negative outlooks for the 3rd quarter outnumber positive outlooks by 5.2-to-1.

NEW YORK – U.S. companies are warning about third-quarter earnings at a rate lower than last quarter but still at the second highest level since 2001, leaving estimates well below what they were just three months ago.

Companies issuing negative outlooks for the quarter outnumber positive ones by 5.2-to-1, the most negative since the 6.3-to-1 ratio in the second quarter.

The second-quarter ratio is the worst since the first quarter of 2001. The third quarter would be the second worst since 2001, according to Thomson Reuters data.

Consumer discretionary companies have the second highest number of warnings, including Target Corp. Target said in August that shoppers remained cautious and that its new Canadian stores were not doing as well as anticipated.

This is not really surprising given declining real median household income and a part-time worker labor recovery. Both have been falling.

badlav

Will retail hold up? Retail Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) vacancies are declining and retail rent per square foot are slowly recovering.

retvac1

Office completions have subsided greatly, but are growing in San Jose and Houston.

offiinccon

We shall see what happens to commercial real estate construction the ratio of a 5.2-to-1 negative earnings ratio rears its ugly head.

I wonder if The Fed will floor the monetary accelerator?

fedbal0901.13


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: cre; earning; obamacare
Wonderful. /sarc
1 posted on 09/30/2013 4:01:09 PM PDT by whitedog57
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To: whitedog57; Wyatt's Torch

ADP number jobs number out Wednesday 0815 and NFP out Friday.


2 posted on 09/30/2013 4:07:43 PM PDT by Perdogg (Ted Cruz-Rand Paul 2016)
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To: whitedog57

I think we should stand up as a nation and Unionize.
That way we can all get paid three times what we are worth, and do as little work as possible. Then, after you put in your ten years, go out on full disability.


3 posted on 09/30/2013 4:16:27 PM PDT by DeepInTheHeartOfTexas
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To: whitedog57

Welcome to Obamaville...


4 posted on 09/30/2013 4:17:02 PM PDT by Hotlanta Mike ("Governing a great nation is like cooking a small fish - too much handling will spoil it." Lao Tzu)
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To: Perdogg

....aaaaadn sheet is just starting to hit the fan.
Earnings, business volume and TAXES collected by kommies are dwindling, “assistance”, food stamps going up.

Watch out for unreal taxation followed by “if you can’t manage it, we will take it over from you”

Nationalization of property, completeting the “conversion” to Communist Hell of emptiness.

Time to stop it!!!! It may be already late.


5 posted on 09/30/2013 4:18:14 PM PDT by Leo Carpathian (FReeeeepeesssssed)
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To: whitedog57

Darn Republicans and their government shutdown.


6 posted on 09/30/2013 4:35:59 PM PDT by skeeter
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To: whitedog57

Recirculating debt from those with incomes from the various levels of government doesn’t do the country any good. A strong economy with much in the way of services will have men producing and exporting more than is imported.


7 posted on 09/30/2013 5:05:20 PM PDT by familyop (We Baby Boomers are croaking in an avalanche of corruption smelled around the planet.)
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To: Jet Jaguar; NorwegianViking; ExTexasRedhead; HollyB; FromLori; EricTheRed_VocalMinority; ...

And we wonder why we are getting distractions from the White House on everything else....

The list, Ping

Let me know if you would like to be on or off the ping list

http://www.nachumlist.com/


8 posted on 09/30/2013 5:08:53 PM PDT by Nachum (I am Breitbartacus!)
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To: Leo Carpathian

They can TRY to take it but rest assured this person will not allow it to happen without a fight. Blood if need be. F**k them!


9 posted on 09/30/2013 5:13:04 PM PDT by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal the 16th Amendment)
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To: whitedog57
Office completions have subsided greatly, but are growing in San Jose and Houston.

offiinccon

We shall see what happens to commercial real estate construction the ratio of a 5.2-to-1 negative earnings ratio rears its ugly head.

Office construction - and other construction - is going gang busters in Houston...let's see if this has an impact....praying it doesn't.

10 posted on 09/30/2013 5:15:17 PM PDT by Jane Long (While Marxists continue the fundamental transformation of the USA, progressive RINOs assist!)
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To: whitedog57; Jet Jaguar; NorwegianViking; ExTexasRedhead; HollyB; FromLori; ...

The USA is going to produce 1 million barrels@ day more oil this year than last. Same growth is going to happen for the next five years or more.

The economic implications of this revolution in the oil patch is bigger than the net revolution of the late 90’s.

If it weren’t for obamacare and doddfrank, the US economy would be growing at 5%. As it is, unless obama can find a way to kill the oil patch—and that remains a distinct possibility—the USA growth is not going to go below 2% for the next couple years. That goes even if the other sectors of the economy don’t perform at all—as looks to be the case now.


11 posted on 09/30/2013 7:16:43 PM PDT by ckilmer
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To: Leo Carpathian; Wyatt's Torch; SeekAndFind; John W; xzins

No NFP report on Friday, but ADP tomorrow.


12 posted on 10/01/2013 2:06:43 PM PDT by Perdogg (Ted Cruz-Rand Paul 2016)
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